Match Info

Date: 24 April 2022, Sunday


	Ajka		Budaörsi SC

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.25	3.4
	2	3.2	3.1
	1.9	3.45	3.45
	1.93	3.73	3.59
	1.9	3.52	3.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.27)	3.43 ↑ (3.25)	3.43 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajka
47%

Draw
26.5%

Budaörsi SC
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

27.7%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

27.9%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ajka's performance.

Budaörsi SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Budaörsi SC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajka than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ajka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Budaörsi SC than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Budaörsi SC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ajka - Budaörsi SC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Ajka is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Budaörsi SC is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ajka will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ajka won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Ajka won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ajka
Hungarian NB II
17.04.22	Szentlőrinc - Ajka	0:1 ✺
10.04.22	Ajka - Szombathelyi Haladas	1:0 ✺
06.04.22	Tiszakécske - Ajka	4:1 ✺
03.04.22	Ajka - Dorogi	3:0 ✺
20.03.22	Szeged 2011 - Ajka	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWLWL
- Budaörsi SC
Hungarian NB II
17.04.22	Budaörsi SC - Soroksár	0:1 ✺
10.04.22	Budaörsi SC - Budafoki	3:1 ✺
06.04.22	Szentlőrinc - Budaörsi SC	1:1 ✺
03.04.22	Budaörsi SC - Szombathelyi Haladas	0:1 ✺
20.03.22	Tiszakécske - Budaörsi SC	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB II
07.11.21	Budaörsi SC - Ajka	1:2
28.02.21	Budaörsi SC - Ajka	2:7
30.08.20	Ajka - Budaörsi SC	1:5
06.11.19	Ajka - Budaörsi SC	2:3

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