Match Info

NB II. - Round 8

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Ajka Sportcentrum (Ajka)


	Ajka		Csákvári

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.60	3.75
	1.74	3.40	3.85
	1.69	3.94	4.06
	1.87	3.58	3.9	Watch
	1.67	3.90	4.00
	1.82	3.53	4.05
	1.75	3.45	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.96)	3.63 ↑ (3.15)	3.92 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajka
51.8%

Draw
25%

Csákvári
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

28.1%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

26%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ajka's performance.

Csákvári has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajka than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Csákvári than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Ajka - Csákvári Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Simon B. (G) 10. Artner D. 29. Bacsa B. S. 37. Bocskay B. 71. Csoka Dom. 15. Csorba N. 30. Doncsecz L. 5. Kenderes Z. 6. Nemeth E. 7. Szabo B. 20. Toth G.	61. Bozo M. (G) 15. Asvanyi D. 22. Helembai M. 70. Kancsij A. 74. Komlosi B. 3. Lakatos K. 42. Lorentz M. 77. Major G. 6. Pal B. 9. Pesti Z. 19. Zahoran D.
Substitutes
19. Csizmadia Z. 49. Garamszegi Geczy A. 44. Gyurjan M. (G) 77. Kelemen M. 11. Kopacsi A. 8. Mohos B. 17. Szarka J.	78. Ban G. 11. Benko P. 57. Hollo E. 37. Koppany K. 16. Meszaros D. 76. Nemes M. 5. Schmidtka B. 13. Sipos Z. 14. Somfalvi B. 12. Takacs J. (G) 17. Vas B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 6th and 15th in the Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajka won 0.

Ajka is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Csákvári has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Ajka carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Ajka has recorded 2 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:21 (averaging 1:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ajka against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with 6:13 goals (averaging 0.7:1.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Ajka	7	4	2	1	9:6	3	14
16	Csakvari	8	1	1	6	8:19	-11	4

Last Results with these Odds

Csákvári - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 26.8%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ajka
Hungarian Cup
12.09.26	Ajka - BVSC-Zugló	3:2 penalties ✺
Hungarian NB II
05.09.26	Ajka - Soroksár	0:3 ✺
30.08.26	Szentlőrinc - Ajka	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Ajka - Nagykanizsa	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Diósgyőri - Ajka	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLWWT
- Csákvári TK
Hungarian Cup
12.09.26	Gyirmót - Csákvári	1:0 ✺
Hungarian NB II
06.09.26	Csákvári - Szeged 2011	2:2 ✺
30.08.26	Soroksár - Csákvári	6:0 ✺
23.08.26	Csákvári - Kazincbarcikai	0:2 ✺
16.08.26	Szentlőrinc - Csákvári	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
18.07.26	Ajka - Csákvári	0:2
Hungarian NB II
08.03.26	Ajka - Csákvári	1:2
31.08.25	Csákvári - Ajka	1:0
11.05.25	Ajka - Csákvári	0:1
10.11.24	Csákvári - Ajka	2:2
14.04.24	Ajka - Csákvári	0:1
08.10.23	Csákvári - Ajka	1:0

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