Match Info

Hungarian Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Ajka Sportcentrum (Ajka)


	Ajka		Kisvárda

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.7	1.77
	4.55	3.95	1.62
	3.60	3.44	1.97	Watch
	4.69	4.05	1.61
	4.53	3.71	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.17 ↑ (3.5)	3.77 ↓ (3.93)	1.71 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajka
22%

Draw
24.4%

Kisvárda
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

23.4%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

22.7%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Kisvárda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajka than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kisvárda than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Ajka - Kisvárda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
48', 1 - 0, Doncsecz L. ⚽,
54', 2 - 0, Tar Z. ⚽,
69', 2 - 1, Mesanovic J. ⚽,
80', 3 - 1, Sejben V. ⚽,

Preview

Ajka has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kisvárda is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Kisvárda is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ajka won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ajka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ajka
Hungarian NB II
31.08.25	Csákvári - Ajka	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Szentlőrinc - Ajka	1:0 ✺
17.08.25	Ajka - Budapest Honved	1:0 ✺
10.08.25	Budafoki - Ajka	0:1 ✺
03.08.25	Ajka - Videoton	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LLWWT
- Kisvárda SE
Hungarian NB I
30.08.25	Zalaegerszegi TE - Kisvárda	1:2 ✺
15.08.25	Ujpest - Kisvárda	0:1 ✺
10.08.25	Kisvárda - Puskás Academy	2:1 ✺
03.08.25	Kisvárda - Paksi SE	1:5 ✺
27.07.25	Nyíregyháza Spartacus - Kisvárda	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.5 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB II
09.03.25	Kisvárda - Ajka	4:0
25.08.24	Ajka - Kisvárda	3:2
02.04.16	Ajka - Kisvárda	0:1
12.09.15	Kisvárda - Ajka	0:0

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