Match Info

UAE League - Round 26

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday

Location: Ajman Stadium (Ajman)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Triller TV+


	Ajman Club		Al-Nasr

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.78	3.5	2.25	Watch
	2.8	3.65	2.31
	2.79	3.62	2.3	Watch
	2.75	3.4	2.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (2.89)	3.54 ↑ (3.44)	2.28 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajman Club
33.3%

Draw
26.1%

Al-Nasr
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

27%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

25.9%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajman Club has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Al-Nasr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajman Club than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Nasr than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Ajman Club - Al Nasr Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
81. Al Hosani A. (C) 4. Suliman S. 5. Zajkov G. 44. Yuri Matias 12. Mohammed M. N. A. 20. Biro 26. Al Raeesi B. 56. Jabrane Y. 99. Henrique V. 48. El Hadani S. 9. Azarou W.	40. Al Tamimi A. (C) 24. Al Zaabi Z. 4. Glauber 22. Hoibraaten M. 55. Petrovic D. 8. Abdulbasit M. 6. Mahdi H. 10. Ghaedi M. 57. Faiz I. 28. Toure A. 13. Mierez R.
Substitutes
11. Abdelaziz A. 97. Alblooshi A. 87. Ali I. 8. Al Junaibi M. 90. Al Zaabi O. 14. Ben Njima F. 7. Flemmings J. 19. Marciano R. 3. Saleh A. 92. Yazan M. 96. Yousef M. (G)	88. Abdulaziz A. 20. Agudelo K. 35. Al-Saadi J. 17. Azarkan M. 23. Doumbia C. 52. Felipe Motta 51. Kassem M. 75. Osama Z. 15. Saatci S. 37. Salem S. (G) 2. Sultan S.
Coaches
Tufegdzic G.	Jokanovic S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Azarou W. ⚽, Henrique V. (A),
30', Ghaedi M. 🟨,
42', 2 - 0, Azarou W. ⚽, Henrique V. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Henrique V. ↓, Flemmings J. ↑,
46', Ghaedi M. ↓, Doumbia C. ↑,
46', Abdulbasit M. ↓, Agudelo K. ↑,
46', Glauber ↓, Saatci S. ↑,
52', 2 - 1, Doumbia C. ⚽,
63', Mierez R. ↓, Azarkan M. ↑,
67', Jabrane Y. 🟨,
73', El Hadani S. ↓, Al Zaabi O. ↑,
83', Biro ↓, Saleh A. ↑,
88', Mahdi H. ↓, Kassem M. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 2, Toure A. ⚽,
90+4', Jabrane Y. ↓, Abdelaziz A. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajman won 1.

Recent performances by Ajman have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Al-Nasr is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ajman won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:31. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Ajman won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 1.8:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Ajman	5	3	0	2	11:12	-1	9
9	Al Nasr	5	1	2	2	6:7	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ajman Club
UAE Football League
10.05.26	Dibba Al Fujairah - Ajman Club	0:2 ✺
05.05.26	Ajman Club - Al-Jazira	1:1 ✺
24.04.26	Al Dhafra - Ajman Club	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Ajman Club - Al Wasl	1:3 ✺
05.04.26	Al Ain - Ajman Club	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTWLL
- Al-Nasr SC
UAE Football League
11.05.26	Al-Nasr - Ittihad Kalba	2:1 ✺
06.05.26	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Nasr	2:1 ✺
24.04.26	Al-Nasr - Al-Jazira	3:2 ✺
11.04.26	Al Dhafra - Al-Nasr	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Al-Nasr - Al-Wahda	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

UAE Football League
24.08.25	Al-Nasr - Ajman Club	1:0
27.02.25	Ajman Club - Al-Nasr	2:1
05.10.24	Al-Nasr - Ajman Club	3:1
21.05.24	Al-Nasr - Ajman Club	1:1
UAE Presidents Cup
02.04.24	Ajman Club - Al-Nasr	1:2
UAE Football League
16.12.23	Ajman Club - Al-Nasr	0:3
UAE League Cup
14.09.23	Al-Nasr - Ajman Club	4:1

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