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Current Win Probability
Shabab Al-Ahli 51.2%
Draw 25.1%
Al-Nasr 23.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.3%
18%
14.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.9%
17.3%
14.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shabab Al-Ahli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shabab Al-Ahli's form might have worsened.
Al-Nasr has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Nasr's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shabab Al-Ahli than the current prediction. (+18.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shabab Al-Ahli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Nasr than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Nasr, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Shabab Al Ahli - Al Nasr Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Matheus Donelli (G) 30. Keita O. 44. Fernandes J. 13. Renan 16. Rikelme 14. Garcia D. 5. Irala E. 24. Markelo J. 10. Cartabia F. (C) 8. Al Mansouri M. 9. Ghandipour R.
12. Shambih A. (G) 30. Joao Moreira 15. Sanogo A. 4. Glauber 55. Petrovic D. 7. Agudelo K. 19. Milivojevic L. (C) 5. Abdulbasit M. 10. Ghaedi M. 70. Hrustic A. 13. Mierez R.
Substitutes
1. Al Menhali R. (G) 26. Al Nuaimi E. 80. Breno 6. Ezatolahi S. 4. Faes W. 79. Joao Marcelo 55. Juan Alvina 31. Kauan Santos 19. Mateusao 23. Seifi M. 70. Thiago
53. Adli M. (G) 9. Bedia C. 14. Felipe Motta 21. Idrees A. 51. Kassem M. 6. Mahdi H. 75. Osama Z. 28. Toure A. 17. Wesley Delgado 46. Zamah M.
Coaches
Jardine A.
Milojevic M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Hrustic A. ⚽, Agudelo K. (A),
40', Irala E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rikelme ↓, Kauan Santos ↑,
60', Abdulbasit M. ↓, Osama Z. ↑,
60', Ghaedi M. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
61', Ghandipour R. 🟨,
70', Al Mansouri M. ↓, Juan Alvina ↑,
70', Ghandipour R. ↓, Mateusao ↑,
70', Fernandes J. ↓, Seifi M. ↑,
77', Garcia D. ↓, Breno ↑,
80', Glauber 🟨,
85', Seifi M. 🟨,
90+1', Agudelo K. ↓, Wesley Delgado ↑,
90+3', Mierez R. 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 1, Mateusao ⚽, Juan Alvina (A),
90+6', Milivojevic L. 🟨,
90+6', Mierez R. ↓, Felipe Motta ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shabab Al-Ahli won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Shabab Al-Ahli carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Shabab Al-Ahli has recorded 10 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 41:32 (averaging 2.1:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Shabab Al-Ahli against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 21:10 goals (averaging 1.9:0.9 per game).
Asia
United-arab-emirates
World
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Matheus Donelli (G) 
Keita O. 
Fernandes J. 
Garcia D. 
Irala E. 
Markelo J. 
Al Mansouri M. 
Ghandipour R. 
Sanogo A. 
Petrovic D. 
Agudelo K. 
Hrustic A. 
Faes W. 
Bedia C. 
Kassem M. 
Wesley Delgado 
