Match Info

UAE League - Round 22

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Sheikh Hamdan Bin Zayed Stadium (Madinat Zayed)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-arab-emirates	ADtv, Dubai Sports 1
World	Triller TV+


	Al Dhafra		Al-Nasr

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.7	3.55	1.85	Watch
	3.83	3.5	2.1
	3.65	3.34	2.01	Watch
	3.7	3.4	1.83
	3.66	3.58	1.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↑ (3.43)	3.47 ↓ (3.67)	1.92 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Dhafra
25%

Draw
26.7%

Al-Nasr
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

25.3%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

24.6%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Dhafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Al-Nasr has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Dhafra than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Nasr than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Al Dhafra - Al Nasr Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Al Sayed A. (G) 15. Al Karbi A. 20. Amesimeku L. 13. Rabja M. 3. Serafim 10. Ibrahim K. (C) 5. Al Harbi M. 9. Jobson 11. El Khaloui M. 21. Djooh R. 22. Yaslam R.	12. Shambih A. (G) 24. Al Zaabi Z. 4. Glauber 22. Hoibraaten M. 55. Petrovic D. 57. Faiz I. 6. Mahdi H. 20. Agudelo K. 19. Milivojevic L. (C) 28. Toure A. 13. Mierez R.
Substitutes
23. Al Hosani I. 26. Al Marzouqi Y. 24. Al Zaabi S. 18. Ayman Y. 33. El Berkaoui K. 99. Marcelinho 8. Mohammed Z. 6. Noumonvi E. 4. Saleh F. 17. Soussi A. 30. Sultan A. (G) 31. Vittor Moura	8. Abdulbasit M. 80. Al Somhi S. 40. Al Tamimi A. (G) 17. Azarkan M. 23. Doumbia C. 52. Felipe Motta 10. Ghaedi M. 38. Ndiaye M. 75. Osama Z. 15. Saatci S. 37. Salem S. (G) 2. Sultan S.
Coaches
Petrovic Z.	Jokanovic S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Faiz I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mahdi H. ↓, Doumbia C. ↑,
46', Mierez R. ↓, Ghaedi M. ↑,
46', Agudelo K. ↓, Azarkan M. ↑,
63', Milivojevic L. 🟨,
66', Al Harbi M. ↓, Marcelinho ↑,
66', Ibrahim K. ↓, El Berkaoui K. ↑,
69', Serafim ↓, Al Marzouqi Y. ↑,
77', 0 - 1, Doumbia C. ⚽, Ghaedi M. (A),
82', Amesimeku L. ↓, Noumonvi E. ↑,
86', Toure A. ↓, Ndiaye M. ↑,
89', Al Karbi A. 🟨,
90+1', Petrovic D. ↓, Felipe Motta ↑,
90+3', Shambih A. 🟨,
90+6', Doumbia C. 🟨,
90+6', Rabja M. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Dhafra won 0.

Al Dhafra is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Al-Nasr has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Al-Nasr could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al Dhafra won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 15:35. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Al Dhafra won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:18. (average 0.7:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Al Nasr	5	1	2	2	6:7	-1	5
12	Al Dhafra	5	1	0	4	3:9	-6	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Dhafra
UAE Football League
05.04.26	Dibba Al Fujairah - Al Dhafra	1:0 ✺
18.03.26	Al Wasl - Al Dhafra	3:0 ✺
10.03.26	Al Dhafra - Al-Jazira	1:2 ✺
26.02.26	Ittihad Kalba - Al Dhafra	1:1 ✺
20.02.26	Al Dhafra - Shabab Al-Ahli	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTL
- Al-Nasr SC
UAE Football League
04.04.26	Al-Nasr - Al-Wahda	2:2 ✺
18.03.26	Al-Nasr - Al Bataeh	1:1 ✺
11.03.26	Al-Sharjah - Al-Nasr	1:2 ✺
27.02.26	Dibba Al Fujairah - Al-Nasr	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Al-Nasr - Khor Fakkan	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

UAE Football League
21.11.25	Al-Nasr - Al Dhafra	2:0
27.01.23	Al-Nasr - Al Dhafra	1:0
UAE League Cup
15.12.22	Al-Nasr - Al Dhafra	2:1
11.12.22	Al Dhafra - Al-Nasr	0:3
UAE Football League
03.09.22	Al Dhafra - Al-Nasr	1:1
21.05.22	Al-Nasr - Al Dhafra	1:2
30.12.21	Al Dhafra - Al-Nasr	1:1

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