Match Info

First League - Round 21

Date: 3 September 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Akademiya Ontustik		Aktobe 2

	1	X	2
	1.34	5	5.7
	1.44	4.16	6.31	Watch
	1.34	5.05	5.6
	1.2	5.35	11.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.44)	4.89 ↑ (4.16)	7.35 ↑ (6.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akademiya Ontustik
68.8%

Draw
18.7%

Aktobe 2
12.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.5%

22%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

20.8%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akademiya Ontustik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Akademiya Ontustik's performance.

Aktobe 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akademiya Ontustik than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aktobe 2 than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 11).

Akademiya Ontustik is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Aktobe 2 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Akademiya Ontustik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Akademiya Ontustik is the obvious favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Akademiya Ontustik won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 3.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Akademiya Ontustik won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 3.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Akademiya Ontustik	25	13	4	8	36:30	6	43
12	Aktobe 2	25	6	6	13	43:75	-32	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Akademiya Ontustik
Kazakh First League
20.08.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Batyr Ekibastuz	3:2 ✺
13.08.26	Kairat 2 - Akademiya Ontustik	0:0 ✺
06.08.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Khan Tengri	3:1 ✺
30.07.26	Taraz - Akademiya Ontustik	2:1 ✺
23.07.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Astana 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WTWLW
- FC Aktobe 2
Kazakh First League
28.08.26	Aktobe 2 - Jaiyq	1:0 ✺
20.08.26	Yelimay 2 - Aktobe 2	2:5 ✺
13.08.26	Aktobe 2 - Shakhter Karagandy	1:6 ✺
06.08.26	Aktobe 2 - Batyr Ekibastuz	0:2 ✺
30.07.26	Kaspiy Aktau 2 - Aktobe 2	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
11.06.26	Aktobe 2 - Akademiya Ontustik	1:4
11.09.25	Akademiya Ontustik - Aktobe 2	2:1
12.06.25	Aktobe 2 - Akademiya Ontustik	1:2
23.06.23	Akademiya Ontustik - Aktobe 2	5:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Akademiya Ontustik
Kazakh First League
15.10.26	Arys - Akademiya Ontustik	✺
- FC Aktobe 2
Kazakh First League
15.10.26	Khan Tengri - Aktobe 2	✺

Akademiya Ontustik - Aktobe 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide