Match Info

First League - Round 16

Date: 30 July 2026, Thursday


	Kaspiy Aktau 2		Aktobe 2

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.70	2.85
	2.05	3.65	2.88
	2	3.65	2.65
	1.95	3.76	3.18	Watch
	2.04	3.6	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (2)	3.67 ↑ (3.42)	2.87 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaspiy Aktau 2
44.5%

Draw
24.3%

Aktobe 2
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

26.1%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

26.3%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaspiy Aktau 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Aktobe 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaspiy Aktau 2 than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aktobe 2 than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Tazhikenov S. ⚽, Armenov A. (A),
28', 2 - 0, Armenov A. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
50', 2 - 1, Arystanov D. ⚽,
56', 3 - 1, Shinzyrbekov E. ⚽, Armenov A. (A),
57', 4 - 1, Abdulla N. ⚽,
87', 5 - 1, Oryngalyev A. ⚽,
90+2', 6 - 1, Armenov A. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 11).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Kaspiy 2 might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Kaspij Aktau 2	24	8	4	12	35:41	-6	28
12	Aktobe 2	24	6	6	12	42:73	-31	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kaspiy Aktau 2
Kazakh First League
23.07.26	Kaspiy Aktau 2 - Batyr Ekibastuz	3:0 ✺
17.07.26	Kairat 2 - Kaspiy Aktau 2	6:0 ✺
10.07.26	Kaspiy Aktau 2 - Taraz	1:0 ✺
02.07.26	Astana 2 - Kaspiy Aktau 2	6:1 ✺
25.06.26	Kaspiy Aktau 2 - Tobol 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLWLW
- FC Aktobe 2
Kazakh First League
24.07.26	Aktobe 2 - Kairat 2	0:4 ✺
16.07.26	Taraz - Aktobe 2	1:1 ✺
09.07.26	Aktobe 2 - Khan Tengri	5:2 ✺
02.07.26	Tobol 2 - Aktobe 2	5:5 ✺
25.06.26	Aktobe 2 - Arys	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LTWTW

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