Match Info

First League - Round 16

Date: 30 July 2026, Thursday


	Taraz		Akademiya Ontustik

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.50	2.48
	2.27	3.55	2.34
	2.49	3.26	2.60	Watch
	2.35	3.45	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.49)	3.44 ↑ (3.26)	2.47 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Taraz
37.8%

Draw
26%

Akademiya Ontustik
36.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.7%

28.1%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

28.1%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taraz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Akademiya Ontustik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taraz than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akademiya Ontustik than the current prediction. (-1%)

Taraz - Akademiya Ontustik Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Akademiya Ontustik (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Mukanbetzhanov A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 1, Ali A. ⚽,
74', 2 - 1, Zhumabek A. ⚽, Baytana B. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 4).

Taraz has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Akademiya Ontustik has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Taraz won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Taraz won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Akademiya Ontustik	25	13	4	8	36:30	6	43
7	Taraz	24	8	7	9	31:33	-2	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Taraz
Kazakh First League
24.07.26	Yelimay 2 - Taraz	0:1 ✺
16.07.26	Taraz - Aktobe 2	1:1 ✺
10.07.26	Kaspiy Aktau 2 - Taraz	1:0 ✺
03.07.26	Kairat 2 - Taraz	4:1 ✺
26.06.26	Taraz - Shakhter Karagandy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WTLLL
- Akademiya Ontustik
Kazakh First League
23.07.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Astana 2	2:1 ✺
17.07.26	Tobol 2 - Akademiya Ontustik	2:3 ✺
09.07.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Arys	1:2 ✺
02.07.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Shakhter Karagandy	1:2 ✺
25.06.26	Jaiyq - Akademiya Ontustik	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
01.05.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Taraz	2:1
18.07.25	Taraz - Akademiya Ontustik	1:1
26.05.23	Taraz - Akademiya Ontustik	3:3

Upcoming Matches