Match Info

ICELAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 19

Date: 25 August 2023, Friday

Location: Akranesvöllur (Akranes)


	Akraness		Selfoss

	1	X	2
	1.49	5.22	5.02
	1.44	4.2	5
	1.47	4.9	5.25	Watch
	1.47	4.7	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.38)	4.76 ↓ (5.1)	5.04 ↓ (5.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akraness
62.5%

Draw
19.3%

Selfoss
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.5%

17.9%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

16.9%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akraness has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Selfoss has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akraness than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Akraness, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Selfoss than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Akraness - Selfoss Predictions

Users Predictions: Akraness will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Einarsson A. (G) 6. Gislason J. G. E. 18. Hafsteinsson A. 5. Hjorleifsson A. 4. Jonsson H. 9. Jonsson V. (C) 8. Sigurdsson I. 20. Thorlaksson I. 10. Thorsteinsson S. 17. Unnarsson G. 3. Vall J.	1. Agustsson S. (G) 22. Antonsson T. 21. Einarsson A. 77. Magnusson H. 10. Martin G. 8. Oskarsson I. 5. Petursson J. 6. Sanchez A. 20. Tyrfingsson G. (C) 4. Wasilewski O. 19. Zamorano G.
Substitutes
2. Einarsson H. 7. Finnbogason A. 27. Heimisson A. 14. Hermannsson B. 31. Hodzic D. (G) 28. Lindgren P. 15. Theodorsson M.	14. Birgisson A. 25. Hardarson S. 17. Johannsson V. 12. Kjartansson A. (G) 3. Sveinsson R. 23. Thordarson T. 15. Vokes A.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Akraness won 5.

Akraness is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Selfoss is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Akraness is indisputable favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Akraness won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 23-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Akraness won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IA Akraness
Icelandic Division 1
20.08.23	Throttur Reykjavik - Akraness	1:1 ✺
16.08.23	Akraness - Ægir	4:0 ✺
11.08.23	Fjölnir - Akraness	0:1 ✺
08.08.23	Grótta - Akraness	1:3 ✺
02.08.23	Akraness - Leiknir Reykjavík	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWWWL
- UMF Selfoss
Icelandic Division 1
20.08.23	Selfoss - Thor Akureyri	2:2 ✺
16.08.23	Selfoss - Njarðvík	2:3 ✺
12.08.23	Throttur Reykjavik - Selfoss	4:3 ✺
08.08.23	Vestri - Selfoss	2:1 ✺
02.08.23	Selfoss - Ægir	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Division 1
23.06.23	Selfoss - Akraness	3:4
Icelandic League Cup
13.02.21	Akraness - Selfoss	3:1
Icelandic Division 1
15.09.18	Selfoss - Akraness	1:3
05.07.18	Akraness - Selfoss	2:0
Icelandic Cup
30.04.18	Selfoss - Akraness	1:4
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
29.09.12	Selfoss - Akraness	1:3
16.07.12	Akraness - Selfoss	4:0

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