Match Info

First League - Round 9

Date: 11 June 2026, Thursday


	Aktobe 2		Akademiya Ontustik

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.70	2.22
	2.52	3.80	2.04
	4.35	3.12	1.84	Watch
	2.60	3.40	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↓ (4.05)	3.51 ↑ (3.39)	2.09 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aktobe 2
30.3%

Draw
26%

Akademiya Ontustik
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

26.9%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

25.9%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aktobe 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aktobe 2's performance.

Akademiya Ontustik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Akademiya Ontustik might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aktobe 2 than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aktobe 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akademiya Ontustik than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Akademiya Ontustik could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Aktobe 2 - Akademiya Ontustik Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Ali A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
64', 0 - 2, Khaldar A. ⚽, Temirbek A. (A),
71', 1 - 2, Begimov A. ⚽,
76', 1 - 3, Abdashyn A. ⚽, Sagyndyk N. (A),
85', 1 - 4, Nyshantay D. ⚽, Nuraly B. (A),

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 6).

Aktobe 2 has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Akademiya Ontustik has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Aktobe 2 has had a series of away games.

In this match, Akademiya Ontustik is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aktobe 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1.3:3).

Including home match between the teams, Aktobe 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Akademiya Ontustik	23	13	4	6	36:27	9	43
12	Aktobe 2	23	6	5	12	38:69	-31	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Aktobe 2
Kazakh First League
27.05.26	Jaiyq - Aktobe 2	3:2 ✺
21.05.26	Aktobe 2 - Yelimay 2	3:1 ✺
15.05.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Aktobe 2	7:0 ✺
08.05.26	Batyr Ekibastuz - Aktobe 2	1:1 ✺
23.04.26	Kairat 2 - Aktobe 2	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLTL
- Akademiya Ontustik
Kazakh First League
26.05.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Kaspiy Aktau 2	1:0 ✺
21.05.26	Batyr Ekibastuz - Akademiya Ontustik	2:2 ✺
15.05.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Kairat 2	1:3 ✺
08.05.26	Khan Tengri - Akademiya Ontustik	3:0 ✺
01.05.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Taraz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
11.09.25	Akademiya Ontustik - Aktobe 2	2:1
12.06.25	Aktobe 2 - Akademiya Ontustik	1:2
23.06.23	Akademiya Ontustik - Aktobe 2	5:2

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