Match Info

NIGERIA: NPFL - Round 16

Date: 9 December 2024, Monday

Location: Godswill Akpabio International Stadium (Uyo)

Referee: Saheed B. (Nga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Nigeria	NPFL Live


	Akwa United		Bendel Insurance

	1	X	2
	1.79	2.95	5
	1.94	2.85	4.75
	1.91	2.82	4.74	Watch
	1.73	2.9	5
	1.88	2.82	4.71
	1.79	2.95	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.55)	2.88 ↓ (3.4)	4.87 ↓ (6.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akwa United
49.6%

Draw
31.7%

Bendel Insurance
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

26.8%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

25.9%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akwa United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Akwa United's form might have worsened.

Bendel Insurance has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akwa United than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Akwa United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bendel Insurance than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Akwa United - Bendel Insurance Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Akwa United will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Bendel will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Acquah P. 9. Alaekwe C. 29. Ebedebiri E. 27. Essien U. 25. Etim C. 8. Kabir O. 3. Ndon W. 12. Oguntayo S. 1. Otuyiga H. 21. Philip D. 15. Samuel M.	12. Baba J. (G) 17. Annor I. 18. Anthony N. 10. Ayuba Z. 14. Chigozie D. 8. Collins U. 4. Emiloju J. 23. Okorom S. 25. Oronsaye J. 36. Precious A. 5. Ugwu E.
Substitutes
34. Akala O. 35. Apollos F. 7. Bala R. 10. Edidiong E. 18. Efala J. (G) 28. Ferinyaro L. 24. James E. 11. Mubarak S. 26. Nsikak R.	30. Ajiboye M. 16. Cletus A. (G) 7. Enaruna M. 13. Moughara D. 24. Ogunye A. 34. Okeke V. 11. Onyinjekwu C. 20. Owolijah M. 2. Sodje S.
Coaches
Babaganaru M.	Ikhenoba G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Alaekwe C. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Okorom S. ⚽,
30', 🟨,
43', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Kabir O. ↓, Bala R. ↑,
59', Acquah P. ↓, Edidiong E. ↑,
59', Oguntayo S. ↓, Apollos F. ↑,
61', Oronsaye J. ↓, Enaruna M. ↑,
63', 🟨,
63', Essien U. 🟨,
75', Alaekwe C. ↓, Mubarak S. ↑,
83', Edidiong E. 🟨,
90+3', Samuel M. ↓, Nsikak R. ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Akwa United is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Akwa United won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Akwa United won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Akwa United
Nigerian Premier League
01.12.24	Ikorodu City - Akwa United	4:1 ✺
27.11.24	Akwa United - Plateau United	1:0 ✺
16.11.24	Akwa United - Nasarawa United	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Niger Tornadoes - Akwa United	1:0 ✺
03.11.24	Akwa United - Kwara United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWWLW
- Bendel Insurance FC
Nigerian Premier League
30.11.24	Bendel Insurance - Plateau United	2:1 ✺
27.11.24	Nasarawa United - Bendel Insurance	2:1 ✺
23.11.24	Bendel Insurance - Kwara United	3:1 ✺
17.11.24	Enugu Rangers - Bendel Insurance	3:2 ✺
09.11.24	Bendel Insurance - Kano Pillars	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Nigerian Premier League
13.03.24	Akwa United - Bendel Insurance	3:1
28.10.23	Bendel Insurance - Akwa United	0:0
08.01.23	Akwa United - Bendel Insurance	0:2

Akwa United - Bendel Insurance: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide