Match Info
NPFL - Round 19Date: 27 December 2025, SaturdayLocation: Samuel Ogbemudia Stadium (Benin City)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 Nigeria | NPFL Live |
|
 |
|
 |
|
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Bendel Insurance |
|
Kwara United |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.41 |
3.55 |
8.5 |
|
 |
1.42 |
3.62 |
9.45 |
 Watch |
 |
1.4 |
3.5 |
8.5 |
|
 |
1.42 |
3.72 |
9.31 |
|
 |
1.36 |
3.66 |
8 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4 ↓
(1.45) |
3.61 ↓
(3.63) |
8.75 ↑
(8.12) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Bendel Insurance
64.6% | Draw
25.1% | Kwara United
10.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bendel Insurance has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Kwara United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bendel Insurance than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kwara United than the current prediction. (+0.3%)Bendel Insurance - Kwara United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
| 33.  Nurudeen B. (G)
|
| 3. Akanni A.
|
| 11. Aule J.
|
| 32. Bankole A.
|
| 2. Bright B.
|
| 5. Gbadamosi J.
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| 20. Gidado T.
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| 34. Ogbonna A.
|
| 13. Ogunribide S.
|
| 21. Okon I.
|
| 15. Olanrewaju A.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
| 14. Aimufua J.
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| 30. Ajiboye M.
|
| 16. Ezeh C.
|
| 36. Ezenabo S.
|
| 31. Mohammed A. M.
|
| 4. Ozor P.
|
| 35. Yekini K. (G)
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Akpan E. ⚽,
- 39', 2 - 0, Oke Solomon K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 74', 🟨,
- 76', 🟨,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 8).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bendel won 3.Bendel is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Kwara has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).Kwara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Bendel is the obvious favorite.We predict that Bendel will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Bendel won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.2:0.5).Including home matches between the teams, Bendel won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Nigerian Premier League | | | 13.04.25 | Kwara United - Bendel Insurance | 0:1 | | 23.11.24 | Bendel Insurance - Kwara United | 3:1 | | 07.04.24 | Kwara United - Bendel Insurance | 1:1 | | 08.04.23 | Bendel Insurance - Kwara United | 1:1 | | 22.01.23 | Kwara United - Bendel Insurance | 0:1 | | 21.04.19 | Kwara United - Bendel Insurance | 0:0 |
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