Match Info

NIGERIA: NPFL - Round 15

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Mobolaji Johnson Arena (Lagos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Nigeria	NPFL Live


	Ikorodu City		Akwa United

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.5	7.6
	1.43	3.48	7.45
	1.47	3.45	7.75
	1.46	3.5	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.78)	3.48 ↑ (3.1)	7.6 ↑ (4.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ikorodu City
62.1%

Draw
26%

Akwa United
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

29.4%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

29.1%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ikorodu City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ikorodu City's performance.

Akwa United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Akwa United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ikorodu City than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ikorodu City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akwa United than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Akwa United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ikorodu City - Akwa United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Faith J. (G) 7. Adelani S. 11. Alade S. 22. Freedom M. 10. Harrison Uzondu A. 5. Ohaegbulam C. P. 13. Ojetoye W. 17. Olatunji A. 3. Oyedokun T. 19. Solomon E. 18. Taiwo S.	17. Acquah P. 9. Alaekwe C. 29. Ebedebiri E. 27. Essien U. 25. Etim C. 8. Kabir O. 3. Ndon W. 12. Oguntayo S. 1. Otuyiga H. 23. Oyetosho K. 21. Philip D.
Substitutes
33. Adio G. 20. Aina O. (G) 35. Ayemwenre R. 15. Ayomide C. 23. Moses S. 8. Mustapha T. 36. Ngenge L. 9. Thankgod C.	5. Agu S. 34. Akala O. 35. Apollos F. 7. Bala R. 18. Efala J. (G) 24. James E. 26. Nsikak R.
Coaches
Aweroro N.	Babaganaru M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Oyedokun T. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Alaekwe C. ⚽,
45+3', 2 - 1, Solomon E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 3 - 1, Olatunji A. ⚽,
59', Alade S. ↓, Ayomide C. ↑,
59', Solomon E. ↓, Ayemwenre R. ↑,
71', 4 - 1, Ayomide C. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 and 17).

Ikorodu City is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Akwa United is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ikorodu City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ikorodu City is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ikorodu City FC
Nigerian Premier League
23.11.24	Niger Tornadoes - Ikorodu City	0:0 ✺
17.11.24	Ikorodu City - Shooting Stars	2:1 ✺
10.11.24	Katsina United - Ikorodu City	1:2 ✺
03.11.24	Ikorodu City - Rivers United	2:0 ✺
27.10.24	Enyimba - Ikorodu City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 TWWWL
- Akwa United
Nigerian Premier League
27.11.24	Akwa United - Plateau United	1:0 ✺
16.11.24	Akwa United - Nasarawa United	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Niger Tornadoes - Akwa United	1:0 ✺
03.11.24	Akwa United - Kwara United	2:1 ✺
27.10.24	Shooting Stars - Akwa United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLWL

Ikorodu City - Akwa United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide