Match Info
NIGERIA: NPFL - Round 27Date: 3 March 2025, MondayLocation: Godswill Akpabio International Stadium (Uyo)Referee: Oluwatobi M. (Nga)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Nigeria | NPFL Live |
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Akwa United |
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Katsina United |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.4 |
4 |
7.6 |
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 |
1.38 |
3.69 |
7.09 |
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 |
1.43 |
3.9 |
7.63 |
 Watch |
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1.44 |
4 |
7 |
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 |
1.39 |
3.88 |
8.25 |
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 |
1.4 |
4 |
7.6 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41 ↓
(1.59) |
3.91 ↑
(3.25) |
7.53 ↑
(6.11) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Akwa United
64.7% | Draw
23.3% | Katsina United
12.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Akwa United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Akwa United's performance.Katsina United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akwa United than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Akwa United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Katsina United than the current prediction. (+3%)Akwa United - Katsina United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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18.  Efala J. (G)
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14.  Abson M.
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29.  Ebedebiri E.
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27. Essien U.
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23. Etienne A.
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25. Etim C.
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8. Kabir O.
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12. Oguntayo S.
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15. Olayemi Ogunleye J.
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21. Philip D.
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7. Sabastine U.
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| Substitutes |
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13. Adah A.
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35. Apollos F.
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10. Edidiong E.
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31. Ibrahim A.
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3. Ndon W.
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19. Onunze P.
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5. Orji C.
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1. Otuyiga H.
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28. Tochukwu S.
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| Coaches |
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. Boboye K.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Sabastine U. ⚽,
- 24', Mohammed I. ↓, Nasiru S. ↑,
- 27', Attah H. 🟨,
- 39', 🟨,
- 40', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Ebedebiri E. ↓, Ndon W. ↑,
- 50', Achare M. ↓, Ibrahim M. ↑,
- 50', Adamu S. ↓, Abubakar A. ↑,
- 65', Kabir O. ↓, Apollos F. ↑,
- 65', Abson M. ↓, Orji C. ↑,
- 78', Oguntayo S. ↓, Tochukwu S. ↑,
- 86', 🟨,
- 87', Olayemi Ogunleye J. ↓, Edidiong E. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 13).Last 5 head-to-head matches Akwa United won 2. Akwa United is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1). Recent matches Katsina United is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2). Akwa United could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. In this match Akwa United is a favorite.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Akwa United won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:8 (average 1.1:0.7). Including matches at home between the teams Akwa United won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:1 (average 2:0.2).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Nigerian Premier League | | | 17.10.24 | Katsina United - Akwa United | 1:0 | | 12.06.24 | Akwa United - Katsina United | 3:1 | | 01.05.22 | Katsina United - Akwa United | 1:0 | | 15.01.22 | Akwa United - Katsina United | 2:0 | | 27.06.21 | Katsina United - Akwa United | 1:0 | | 07.02.21 | Akwa United - Katsina United | 3:0 | | 15.03.20 | Katsina United - Akwa United | 1:1 |
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