Match Info

NIGERIA: NPFL - Round 24

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Akure Township Stadium (Akure)

Referee: Zakari M. (Nga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Nigeria	NPFL Live


	Sunshine Stars		Akwa United

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.4	5
	1.56	3.25	6.32
	1.62	3.34	5.79	Watch
	1.62	3.2	6.24
	1.65	3.4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.58)	3.32 ↓ (3.39)	5.67 ↓ (5.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sunshine Stars
56.4%

Draw
27.5%

Akwa United
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

26.9%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

26%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sunshine Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Akwa United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunshine Stars than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akwa United than the current prediction. (-1%)

Sunshine Stars - Akwa United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Ishola A. (G) 35. Adebayo A. 11. Adebayo W. 25. Ahmadu L. 4. Edeh D. 9. Elmer A. 24. Iwundu C. 36. Matthew S. 2. Ogechukwu O. 33. Olowoshile Y. 5. Olulasi M.	33. Ovunda D. (G) 13. Adamu U. 9. Alaekwe C. 29. Ebedebiri E. 27. Essien U. 25. Etim C. 8. Kabir O. 12. Oguntayo S. 15. Olayemi Ogunleye J. 19. Onunze P. 7. Sabastine U.
Substitutes
17. Ajagbe A. 16. Amankwe E. 23. Edafe V. (G) 29. Elum H. C. 12. Erukusin J. 13. Esobe C. 18. Matthew A. 28. Okeke V. 3. Onwuasonaya U.	14. Abson M. 32. Adejubu A. 35. Apollos F. 22. Benjamin A. 18. Efala J. (G) 31. Ibrahim A. 24. James E. 5. Orji C. 21. Philip D.
Coaches
Bala A.	Boboye K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Matthew S. ⚽,
41', 🟨,
42', Adamu U. ↓, James E. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Sabastine U. ↓, Abson M. ↑,
59', Olayemi Ogunleye J. ↓, Adejubu A. ↑,
79', Alaekwe C. ↓, Apollos F. ↑,
79', Kabir O. ↓, Orji C. ↑,
85', Oguntayo S. 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sunshine Stars won 1.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match Sunshine Stars is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Sunshine Stars won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:8 (average 0.9:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Sunshine Stars won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sunshine Stars
Nigerian Premier League
09.02.25	Abia Warriors - Sunshine Stars	3:0 ✺
01.02.25	Sunshine Stars - Remo Stars	1:2 ✺
29.01.25	Bayelsa United - Sunshine Stars	4:1 ✺
25.01.25	Sunshine Stars - Ikorodu City	4:3 ✺
29.12.24	Ikorodu City - Sunshine Stars	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLWL
- Akwa United
Nigerian Premier League
09.02.25	Akwa United - Enyimba	2:1 ✺
02.02.25	Abia Warriors - Akwa United	2:0 ✺
29.01.25	Akwa United - Lobi Stars	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Akwa United - Remo Stars	1:2 ✺
29.12.24	Remo Stars - Akwa United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Nigerian Premier League
28.09.24	Akwa United - Sunshine Stars	1:2
21.12.23	Akwa United - Sunshine Stars	0:0
15.05.22	Sunshine Stars - Akwa United	0:0
23.01.22	Akwa United - Sunshine Stars	0:0
09.05.21	Akwa United - Sunshine Stars	2:1
03.04.21	Sunshine Stars - Akwa United	0:0
01.12.19	Sunshine Stars - Akwa United	1:0

Sunshine Stars - Akwa United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide