Match Info

NIGERIA: NPFL - Round 23

Date: 7 February 2025, Friday

Location: Muhammadu Dikko Stadium (Katsina)

Referee: Muntaka A. (Nga)


	Katsina United		Heartland

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.45	8
	1.45	3.42	8.08
	1.48	3.41	8.37	Watch
	1.45	3.4	8.7
	1.46	3.45	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 (1.46)	3.43 ↑ (3.42)	8.23 ↑ (8.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Katsina United
62.4%

Draw
26.6%

Heartland
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

26.6%

11.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

25.2%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Katsina United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Heartland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katsina United than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heartland than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Katsina United - Heartland Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Kolimba A. (G) 6. Abubakar A. 7. Achare M. 4. Barau U. 39. Iheme P. C. 9. Lukman B. 33. Mohammed I. 19. Nura A. 14. Okoko E. 11. Yahya N. 31. Yallilo A. K.	30. Ogunga K. (G) 25. Agu S. 18. Anyanwu P. 34. Charles E. 10. Ekpo D. 15. Ikwu E. 14. Nkwo C. 11. Okoro J. 20. Omaka A. 6. Ozor C. (C) 7. Shimagande T.
Substitutes
. Abdulrahman . Abubakar 1. Ajima O. (G) 30. Isyaku A. . Kangiwa N. 2. Mansoor A. 3. Nasiru S. . Shehu M. 18. Taofeek A.	27. Agor C. 22. Chiaha C. (G) 29. Ezeamaiwe S. 33. Iyanda T. I. 24. John B. 28. Olanrewaju M. 16. Samuel W. 9. Suraju L. 32. Victor B.
Coaches
Sadauki B.	Amuneke E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Ekpo D. 🟨,
56', Yahya N. ↓, Isyaku A. ↑,
56', Nura A. ↓, Taofeek A. ↑,
63', Okoro J. ↓, Suraju L. ↑,
63', Anyanwu P. ↓, Samuel W. ↑,
74', 1 - 0, Mohammed I. ⚽,
80', Charles E. ↓, John B. ↑,
80', Shimagande T. ↓, Ezeamaiwe S. ↑,
90', Lukman B. ↓, Mansoor A. ↑,
90+4', Suraju L. 🟨,
90+4', Iheme P. C. 🟨,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 14 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Katsina United won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Katsina United is absolute favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Katsina United won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4:8 (average 0.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Katsina United won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Katsina United
Nigerian Premier League
03.02.25	Bendel Insurance - Katsina United	1:0 ✺
30.01.25	Katsina United - Plateau United	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Nasarawa United - Katsina United	1:0 ✺
29.12.24	Katsina United - Nasarawa United	1:0 ✺
22.12.24	Kwara United - Katsina United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLWL
- Heartland
Nigerian Premier League
02.02.25	Heartland - Rivers United	2:0 ✺
30.01.25	Enyimba - Heartland	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Heartland - Lobi Stars	1:0 ✺
29.12.24	Lobi Stars - Heartland	0:0 ✺
23.12.24	Akwa United - Heartland	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Nigerian Premier League
22.09.24	Heartland - Katsina United	0:0
09.03.24	Katsina United - Heartland	0:1
22.10.23	Heartland - Katsina United	1:1
Nigerian Federation Cup
10.08.22	Heartland - Katsina United	1:0 penalties
Nigerian Premier League
18.06.22	Heartland - Katsina United	1:0
16.05.21	Heartland - Katsina United	2:0
28.12.20	Katsina United - Heartland	3:2

Katsina United - Heartland: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide