Match Info

Division 1 - Round 14

Date: 30 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Stadium (Al Ahsa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah


	Al-Adalh		Al-Jabalain

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.35	1.82
	3.86	3.58	1.8	Watch
	3.9	3.2	1.83
	3.9	3.32	1.84	Watch
	4	3.5	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.88 ↑ (3.3)	3.39 ↑ (3.2)	1.82 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Adalh
23.4%

Draw
26.8%

Al-Jabalain
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

28.6%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

28.1%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Adalh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Al-Jabalain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Jabalain's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Adalh than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Jabalain than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Jabalain, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	18.2%	81.8%

Al Adalh - Al Jabalain Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al-Jabalain will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al-Jabalain will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Al Amri A. (G) 8. Al Khalaf O. 18. Al Baladi E. 96. Turci L. 27. Al Omaish S. 16. Al Hamdhi K. N. (C) 29. Al Jamman A. 15. Al Mohammed H. 17. Al Majhad H. 98. Al Salem R. 95. Bukia A.	30. Al Waked M. (C) 27. Al Nuweqi H. 4. Queiros D. 5. Al Nakhli I. 3. Al Bukhari A. 12. Al Harbi F. 10. Pessoa P. 6. Madani I. 7. Novais J. 11. Cinari E. 24. Al Bloushi R.
Substitutes
6. Al Basha A. 12. Al Dawsari M. (G) 7. Al Ibrahim R. 24. Al Marri M. 19. Al Muziel K. 88. Al Suwaij A. 91. Bouamer N. 10. Chivaviro R. 9. Qarradi J.	22. Al-Ayada A. 92. Al Habib M. 20. Al Harbi A. 2. Al Mutairi N. 18. Al-Shammari K. S. 55. Al Shammari Z. 8. Al Terais F. 15. Ashraf A. 39. Dos Santos Guerra T. M.
Coaches
Gomes Da Rosa D.	Cheu R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Al Salem R. ⚽, Al Jamman A. (A),
35', Al Harbi F. 🟨,
36', Al Khalaf O. 🟨,
45+3', Al Mohammed H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 2 - 0, Al Majhad H. ⚽, Al Khalaf O. (A),
53', Al Bukhari A. 🟨,
54', Al Harbi F. ↓, Al Harbi A. ↑,
54', Al Bloushi R. ↓, Al Habib M. ↑,
54', Madani I. ↓, Al-Shammari K. S. ↑,
61', Bukia A. ↓, Chivaviro R. ↑,
63', Novais J. 🟨,
63', Al Mohammed H. 🟨,
69', Pessoa P. 🟨,
70', Al Nuweqi H. ↓, Ashraf A. ↑,
76', Al Bukhari A. ↓, Al Terais F. ↑,
76', Al Jamman A. ↓, Al Ibrahim R. ↑,
90', Al Salem R. ↓, Al Marri M. ↑,
90+10', 2 - 1, Pessoa P. ⚽, Cinari E. (A),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Adalh won 3.

Recent performances by Al-Adalh have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Al-Jabalain is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Al-Jabalain is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Al-Adalh won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Adalh won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Adalh FC
Saudi Division 1
25.12.25	Al Jandal - Al-Adalh	0:3 ✺
20.12.25	Al-Adalh - Al-Wahda Mecca	1:4 ✺
13.12.25	Al-Batin - Al-Adalh	1:1 ✺
27.11.25	Al-Adalh - Al-Ula	1:1 ✺
21.11.25	Al-Adalh - Al-Bukayriyah	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLTTL
- Al-Jabalain FC
Saudi Division 1
25.12.25	Al-Jabalain - Al-Ula	2:2 ✺
19.12.25	Al Jubail - Al-Jabalain	0:0 ✺
13.12.25	Al-Jabalain - Al-Diriyah	3:0 ✺
29.11.25	Al-Taee - Al-Jabalain	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Al-Jabalain - Al Raed	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
26.02.25	Al-Jabalain - Al-Adalh	1:2
05.10.24	Al-Adalh - Al-Jabalain	1:1
09.03.24	Al-Jabalain - Al-Adalh	1:2
23.10.23	Al-Adalh - Al-Jabalain	2:1
07.02.22	Al-Adalh - Al-Jabalain	0:2
29.09.21	Al-Jabalain - Al-Adalh	1:2
07.04.21	Al-Jabalain - Al-Adalh	3:1

Al-Adalh - Al-Jabalain: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide