Match Info

Division 1 - Round 13

Date: 25 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Prince Abdul Aziz bin Masaad Stadium (Haʼil)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah


	Al-Jabalain		Al-Ula

	1	X	2
	3.35	3.1	2.02
	3.4	3.32	2.01	Watch
	3.4	3.1	2
	3.31	3.16	2.07	Watch
	3.5	3.1	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (2.89)	3.16 ↑ (3.11)	2.04 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Jabalain
26.7%

Draw
28.7%

Al-Ula
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

29.4%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

29.8%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Jabalain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Al-Ula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Ula's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Jabalain than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ula than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Ula, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	22.2%	77.8%

Al Jabalain - Al Ula Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Al-Ula will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Ula: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ula (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Al-Ula (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ula (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Al Waked M. (G) 27. Al Nuweqi H. 4. Queiros D. 5. Al Nakhli I. 2. Al Mutairi N. 3. Al Bukhari A. 10. Pessoa P. 6. Madani I. 7. Novais J. 11. Cinari E. 9. Toure C.	33. Al Owais M. (C) 14. Al Jumaiya F. 24. Al Dohaim A. 15. Nastasic M. 27. Al Shamrani H. 29. Al Majhad M. 5. Danilo Barbosa 20. Traore A. 8. Al Sulaiheem A. 7. Al Khulaif A. 9. Koulouris E.
Substitutes
24. Al Bloushi R. 1. Al Ghubaini A. (G) 92. Al Habib M. 20. Al Harbi A. 18. Al-Shammari K. S. 55. Al Shammari Z. 28. Al Shehri A. 8. Al Terais F. 15. Ashraf A.	55. Al Hadhood N. 99. Al Jizani F. 1. Al Jubaya A. (G) 66. Al Ruwaili K. 12. Al Shamrani K. 49. Al Zain A. 2. Al Zubaidi A. 10. Guanca C. 3. Razzaq A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Koulouris E. ⚽, Al Sulaiheem A. (A),
8', Toure C. 🟨,
15', Al Dohaim A. 🟥,
38', 1 - 1, Cinari E. ⚽, Novais J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 2 - 1, Pessoa P. ⚽, Novais J. (A),
63', Al Mutairi N. ↓, Al Harbi A. ↑,
65', 2 - 2, Danilo Barbosa ⚽, Al Sulaiheem A. (A),
75', Al Khulaif A. ↓, Al Zain A. ↑,
79', Traore A. ↓, Al Zubaidi A. ↑,
80', Madani I. 🟨,
86', Cinari E. ↓, Al Terais F. ↑,
89', Al Majhad M. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League).

Al-Jabalain is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Al-Ula has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Al-Ula could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Jabalain FC
Saudi Division 1
19.12.25	Al Jubail - Al-Jabalain	0:0 ✺
13.12.25	Al-Jabalain - Al-Diriyah	3:0 ✺
29.11.25	Al-Taee - Al-Jabalain	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Al-Jabalain - Al Raed	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Al-Zulfi - Al-Jabalain	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWTWT
- Al-Ula FC
Saudi Division 1
21.12.25	Al-Ula - Al Jandal	5:1 ✺
12.12.25	Abha - Al-Ula	2:0 ✺
27.11.25	Al-Adalh - Al-Ula	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Al-Ula - Jeddah	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Al-Orobah - Al-Ula	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLTTW

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