Match Info

Premier League - Round 12

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Beirut Municipal Stadium (Beirut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Lebanon	MTV Sports


	Al-Ahed		Al-Abbassieh

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.45	7.5
	1.42	4.2	6.06
	1.44	4.25	6.43	Watch
	1.4	3.9	6
	1.51	4.19	5.88
	1.4	4.2	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.3)	4.2 ↓ (4.8)	6.37 ↓ (9.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Ahed
64.1%

Draw
21.6%

Al-Abbassieh
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.8%

19.2%

10%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Ahed has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Ahed's form might have worsened.

Al-Abbassieh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Al Ahed - Al Abbassieh Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Mansour N. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
77', 0 - 1, Ofori S. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 and 10).

In recent matches, Al-Ahed has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Al-Abbassieh may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Al-Ahed is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahed won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Ahed	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Al Riyadi Abbasiyah	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Ahed SC
Lebanese Cup
18.01.26	Al-Ahed - Tadamon Sour	3:1 ✺
Lebanese Premier League
25.12.25	Bourj - Al-Ahed	1:4 ✺
20.12.25	Shabab Al Sahel - Al-Ahed	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Al-Safa Beyrut - Al-Ahed	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	Al-Ahed - Al-Ansar Beirut	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWL
- Al-Abbassieh FC
Lebanese Premier League
28.12.25	Racing Beirut - Al-Abbassieh	1:3 ✺
19.12.25	Bourj - Al-Abbassieh	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Al-Abbassieh - Shabab Al Sahel	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Al-Safa Beyrut - Al-Abbassieh	2:1 ✺
07.11.25	Al-Abbassieh - Al-Ansar Beirut	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Lebanese Premier League
20.09.25	Al-Abbassieh - Al-Ahed	0:3
14.03.25	Al-Abbassieh - Al-Ahed	1:3

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