Match Info

Premier League - Round 4

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Al-Ahed		Al-Abbassieh

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.00	5.25
	1.48	3.85	5.30
	1.47	3.99	5.51
	1.51	4.09	5.5	Watch
	1.35	4.25	6.45
	1.43	4.40	6.61
	1.51	4.10	5.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.35)	4.1 ↓ (4.35)	5.72 ↓ (7.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Ahed
62%

Draw
22.1%

Al-Abbassieh
15.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.7%

20.7%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Ahed has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Al-Abbassieh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Al Ahed - Al Abbassieh Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Kitwa R. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, Haidar S. ⚽, Antar F. (A),

Preview

Al-Abbassieh could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The betting markets point to Al-Ahed as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Al-Ahed has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:2 (averaging 2:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Al-Ahed against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Al Ahed	4	2	2	0	4:2	2	8
10	Al Riyadi Abbasiyah	3	0	0	3	2:5	-3	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Ahed SC
Lebanese Premier League
17.10.26	Hekmeh - Al-Ahed	1:1 ✺
13.10.26	Al-Ahed - Al-Mabarrah	1:0 ✺
09.10.26	Tripoli - Al-Ahed	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Al-Ahed - Jwaya	2:2 ✺
28.07.26	Nejmeh - Al-Ahed	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TWTTL
- Al-Abbassieh FC
Lebanese Premier League
18.10.26	Al-Abbassieh - Jwaya	1:2 ✺
08.10.26	Al-Safa Beyrut - Al-Abbassieh	2:1 ✺
29.07.26	Al-Abbassieh - Tadamon Sour	2:1 ✺
13.07.26	Al-Abbassieh - Racing Beirut	4:0 ✺
02.07.26	Al-Abbassieh - Racing Beirut	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Lebanese Premier League
24.01.26	Al-Ahed - Al-Abbassieh	0:1
20.09.25	Al-Abbassieh - Al-Ahed	0:3
14.03.25	Al-Abbassieh - Al-Ahed	1:3

Al-Ahed - Al-Abbassieh