Match Info

ASIA: AFC CUP - ROUND 6

Date: 12 December 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Al-Ahed		Al-Fotuwa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.2	3.75	Watch
	1.85	3.3	4.2	Watch
	1.88	3.3	4.13
	1.88	3.15	4.14
	1.75	3.4	3.9
	1.87	3.35	4.2	Watch
	1.88	3.25	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.72)	3.28 ↓ (3.5)	4.02 ↓ (4.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Ahed
49.4%

Draw
27.9%

Al-Fotuwa
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

26.1%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

25.1%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Ahed has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Al-Fotuwa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahed than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Ahed, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Fotuwa than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Al Ahed - Al Fotuwa Predictions

Users Predictions: Al-Ahed will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Matar M. (G) 6. Al Zein H. 4. Mansour N. 5. Khamis K. 8. Dakik H. (C) 21. Al Marmour M. 7. Al Haj A. 18. Michel Melki F. 99. Al Hallak M. 10. Haydar M. 9. Erwin L.	31. Mosa T. (C) 25. Al Hamawi Y. 13. Krouma T. 88. Al-Mohammed A. 20. Almohammad D. 10. Junaid M. 14. Ashkar A. 19. Alkhassi A. 5. Sobhi S. 9. Al Baher M. 99. Joseph M.
Substitutes
23. Hadeed A. 3. Hasheesh M. A. 22. Shour W. 12. Srour H. 13. Wahbi S. (G) 30. Zbib M.	12. Al Abadi M. 16. Al Hanabzali A. A. H. 77. Al Hasan A. 1. Al Hussen T. (G) 7. Al Jafal O. 11. Hussein A.

Preview

Now both teams are in good shape.

Recently Al-Fotuwa have a series of home games.

In this match Al-Ahed is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Al-Ahed to win the game is with odds 1.75.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Al-Ahed won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Ahed SC
Lebanese Premier League
07.12.23	Al-Ahed - Shabab Al-Ghazieh	5:0 ✺
03.12.23	Al-Ahed - Bourj	3:0 ✺
AFC Cup
27.11.23	Al-Nahda - Al-Ahed	2:1 ✺
Lebanese Premier League
09.11.23	Al-Ahed - Tadamon Sour	1:0 ✺
04.11.23	Tripoli - Al-Ahed	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWW
- Al-Fotuwa SC
Syrian Premier League
06.12.23	Al-Fotuwa - Homs Al Fidaa	2:1 ✺
01.12.23	Al-Hurriya Aleppo - Al-Fotuwa	0:1 ✺
24.11.23	Al-Fotuwa - Taliya	3:0 ✺
AFC Cup
06.11.23	Al-Fotuwa - Al-Nahda	0:1 ✺
Syrian Premier League
02.11.23	Al-Fotuwa - Al-Ittihad Aleppo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Cup
02.10.23	Al-Fotuwa - Al-Ahed	1:0

Al-Ahed - Al-Fotuwa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide