Match Info

ASIA: AFC Cup - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 April 2024, Tuesday

Location: Sultan Qaboos Sports Complex (Muscat)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Al-Nahda		Al-Ahed

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.9	3.1	3.7
	1.9	3.2	4.2
	2.02	3.29	4.04
	1.9	3.29	4.04
	1.85	3.2	4	Watch
	1.85	3.25	4.3	Watch
	1.92	3.15	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.78)	3.21 ↓ (3.36)	4.03 ↓ (4.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Nahda
48.4%

Draw
28.7%

Al-Ahed
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

27.5%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

27.6%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Nahda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Al-Ahed has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Nahda than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ahed than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Al Nahda - Al Ahed Predictions

Users Predictions: Al-Nahda will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Al Mukhaini I. (G) 13. Al Shamousi 16. Al Matrooshi A. 25. Al Habashi G. 47. Al Kaabi. A. 23. Al Saadi H. (C) 8. Al-Hinai M. M. A. M. 7. Bensaha B. 81. Gui I. 10. Al Yahyaei S. 9. Al Sabhi I.	95. Matar M. (G) 6. Al Zein H. (C) 18. Michel Melki F. 5. Khamis K. 2. Mohammad D. 10. Haydar M. 22. Shour W. 12. Srour H. 21. Al Marmour M. 11. Darwiche K. 99. Al Hallak M.
Substitutes
11. Al Alawi A. 32. Al Gheilani A. 18. Al Hinai M. 20. Al Malki O. 17. Al Mamari A. (G) 21. Al Rusheidi A. D. 14. Al Saadi H. 27. Al Salti O. 5. Al Shimli N. 26. Al Shiyadi A. (G) 70. Bwalya W. 66. Khasib M.	7. Al Haj A. 1. Azaki S. (G) 8. Dakik H. 9. Erwin L. 20. Fadel K. 24. Farhat H. 71. Farran Z. 23. Hadeed A. 4. Mansour N. 13. Wahbi S. (G) 30. Zbib M. 91. Zeid K.
Coaches
Al-Azani H.	Mohammad R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Al Marmour M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Al-Hinai M. M. A. M. ↓, Al Malki O. ↑,
50', Al Zein H. 🟨,
53', 1 - 0, Al Malki O. ⚽, Al Yahyaei S. (A),
61', Darwiche K. ↓, Erwin L. ↑,
61', Al Marmour M. ↓, Al Haj A. ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Erwin L. ⚽, Al Haj A. (A),
87', 1 - 2, Erwin L. ⚽, Al Hallak M. (A),
89', 2 - 2, Bwalya W. ⚽,
90+5', Al Yahyaei S. 🟨,
90+5', Al Haj A. 🟨,
90+8', Al Hallak M. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Recently Al-Ahed have a series of guest games.

In this match Al-Nahda is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Al-Nahda won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Nahda won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Nahda
AFC Cup
16.04.24	Al-Ahed - Al-Nahda	1:0 ✺
Omani League
08.04.24	Al-Nahda - Al-Nasr Salalah	2:1 ✺
04.04.24	Al-Nahda - Sur Club	1:1 ✺
31.03.24	Ibri - Al-Nahda	0:2 ✺
Omani Sultan Cup
11.03.24	Al-Nasr Salalah - Al-Nahda	0:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LWTWW
- Al-Ahed SC
AFC Cup
16.04.24	Al-Ahed - Al-Nahda	1:0 ✺
Lebanese Premier League
05.04.24	Bourj - Al-Ahed	0:1 ✺
13.03.24	Al-Ansar Beirut - Al-Ahed	1:0 ✺
07.03.24	Racing Beirut - Al-Ahed	1:2 ✺
01.03.24	Nejmeh - Al-Ahed	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

AFC Cup
16.04.24	Al-Ahed - Al-Nahda	1:0
27.11.23	Al-Nahda - Al-Ahed	2:1
18.09.23	Al-Ahed - Al-Nahda	2:1

Al-Nahda - Al-Ahed: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide