Match Info

ASIA: AFC CUP - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 13 February 2024, Tuesday

Location: Beirut Municipal Stadium (Beirut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub


	Al-Ahed		Al-Kahraba

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.3	Watch
	2.85	3.2	2.4	Watch
	2.77	3.05	2.33
	2.8	3.14	2.53
	2.7	3.1	2.3
	2.79	3.3	2.45	Watch
	2.8	3.15	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.15)	3.15 ↓ (3.2)	2.39 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Ahed
32.8%

Draw
29%

Al-Kahraba
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Ahed has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Ahed's form might have worsened.

Al-Kahraba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Kahraba's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	22.2%	55.6%

Al Ahed - Al Kahraba Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Al-Ahed will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Al-Kahraba will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Kahraba: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Matar M. (G) 6. Al Zein H. (C) 22. Shour W. 5. Khamis K. 2. Mohammad D. 11. Darwiche K. 18. Michel Melki F. 12. Srour H. 21. Al Marmour M. 10. Haydar M. 9. Erwin L.	23. Ali A. (G) 13. Ahmed Tamim H. 25. Khaled A. 16. Al Midani Z. (C) 24. Nartey P. 10. Gueye Dieme D. 19. Salam M. 32. Jamal M. 8. Faisal A. 33. Shaffiu M. 90. Khalil M.
Substitutes
7. Al Haj A. 99. Al Hallak M. 8. Dakik H. 71. Farran Z. 23. Hadeed A. 4. Mansour N. 13. Wahbi S. (G) 30. Zbib M. 91. Zeid K.	34. Abdulameer A. 9. Al Ameen M. 7. Al Araji A. B. 29. Ali S. 77. Faisal A. (G) 4. Falah H. 5. Hatem S. 21. Khaled E. 3. Khalil S. 55. Maras Hthelee M. 27. Salim M. 17. Tetteh D.
Coaches
Mohammad R.	Al Khafaji L.

Preview

1st leg.

Al-Kahraba is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Al-Ahed could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Al-Ahed will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Ahed SC
Lebanese Premier League
07.02.24	Al-Ahed - Bourj	3:0 ✺
02.02.24	Al-Ahed - Al-Ansar Beirut	1:1 ✺
AFC Cup
12.12.23	Al-Ahed - Al-Fotuwa	2:1 ✺
Lebanese Premier League
07.12.23	Al-Ahed - Shabab Al-Ghazieh	5:0 ✺
03.12.23	Al-Ahed - Bourj	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTWWW
- Al-Kahraba
Iraqi Premier League
31.12.23	Zakho - Al-Kahraba	0:2 ✺
27.12.23	Al-Kahraba - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	2:2 ✺
23.12.23	Al-Kahraba - Naft Maysan	1:0 ✺
20.12.23	Al-Qasim - Al-Kahraba	3:3 ✺
16.12.23	Al-Kahraba - Al-Zawraa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.7 WTWTT

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