Match Info

ASIA: AFC Cup - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 April 2024, Tuesday

Location: Beirut Municipal Stadium (Beirut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Al-Ahed		Al-Nahda

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.65	2.95	2.45	Watch
	2.85	3	2.5
	2.88	3.13	2.42
	2.89	3.13	2.42
	2.8	3.1	2.38
	2.89	3.08	2.44	Watch
	2.8	3.05	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (2.83)	3.06 ↓ (3.29)	2.44 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Al-Ahed
32.5%

Draw
29.9%

Al-Nahda
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

27.7%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

28%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Ahed has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Al-Nahda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ahed than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Nahda than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Al Ahed - Al Nahda Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Al-Ahed will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Al-Nahda will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Matar M. (G) 6. Al Zein H. (C) 18. Michel Melki F. 5. Khamis K. 2. Mohammad D. 10. Haydar M. 22. Shour W. 12. Srour H. 21. Al Marmour M. 11. Darwiche K. 99. Al Hallak M.	1. Al Mukhaini I. (G) 13. Al Shamousi 4. Ngede J. 25. Al Habashi G. 47. Al Kaabi. A. 23. Al Saadi H. (C) 8. Al-Hinai A. 7. Bensaha B. 20. Al Malki O. 10. Al Yahyaei S. 70. Bwalya W.
Substitutes
7. Al Haj A. 1. Azaki S. (G) 8. Dakik H. 9. Erwin L. 20. Fadel K. 24. Farhat H. 71. Farran Z. 23. Hadeed A. 4. Mansour N. 13. Wahbi S. (G) 30. Zbib M. 91. Zeid K.	11. Al Alawi A. 32. Al Gheilani A. 18. Al Hinai M. 17. Al Mamari A. (G) 16. Al Matrooshi A. 21. Al Rusheidi A. D. 9. Al Sabhi I. 27. Al Salti O. 5. Al Shimli N. 26. Al Shiyadi A. (G) 81. Gui I. 66. Khasib M.
Coaches
Mohammad R.	Al-Azani H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Ngede J. 🟨,
28', Ngede J. ↓, Al Matrooshi A. ↑,
37', Shour W. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Al Hallak M. ⚽, Shour W. (A),
62', Bwalya W. ↓, Al Sabhi I. ↑,
63', Al-Hinai A. ↓, Gui I. ↑,
63', Al Malki O. ↓, Al Rusheidi A. D. ↑,
64', Darwiche K. ↓, Erwin L. ↑,
64', Haydar M. ↓, Al Haj A. ↑,
68', Erwin L. 🟨,
74', Al Hallak M. ↓, Dakik H. ↑,
75', Bensaha B. ↓, Al Alawi A. ↑,
89', Al Marmour M. ↓, Mansour N. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Al-Ahed is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Al-Nahda is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Al-Ahed could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Al-Ahed have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Al-Ahed won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Ahed won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Ahed SC
Lebanese Premier League
05.04.24	Bourj - Al-Ahed	0:1 ✺
13.03.24	Al-Ansar Beirut - Al-Ahed	1:0 ✺
07.03.24	Racing Beirut - Al-Ahed	1:2 ✺
01.03.24	Nejmeh - Al-Ahed	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	Al-Safa Beyrut - Al-Ahed	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWTT
- Al-Nahda
Omani League
08.04.24	Al-Nahda - Al-Nasr Salalah	2:1 ✺
04.04.24	Al-Nahda - Sur Club	1:1 ✺
31.03.24	Ibri - Al-Nahda	0:2 ✺
Omani Sultan Cup
11.03.24	Al-Nasr Salalah - Al-Nahda	0:1 ET ✺
Omani League
06.03.24	Al-Wahda - Al-Nahda	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Cup
27.11.23	Al-Nahda - Al-Ahed	2:1
18.09.23	Al-Ahed - Al-Nahda	2:1

Al-Ahed - Al-Nahda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide