The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Al-Safa Beyrut 34.5%
Draw 29.4%
Al-Ahed 36%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.2%
27.2%
38.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.2%
28.9%
41%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Safa Beyrut has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Al-Ahed has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Safa Beyrut than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahed than the current prediction. (+5%)
Al Safa Beyrut - Al Ahed Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 0 - 1, Fadel K. ⚽,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Winners stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Winners stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Safa won 1.
Al-Safa is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Al-Ahed's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Al-Safa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Al-Safa won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 16:35. (average 0.8:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Al-Safa won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 0.7:1.8).
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