Match Info
Premier League - Championship GroupDate: 16 July 2026, ThursdayLocation: Beirut Municipal Stadium (Beirut)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
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Al-Ahed |
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Nejmeh |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.80 |
3.10 |
2.25 |
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2.88 |
3.05 |
2.28 |
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3.14 |
3.15 |
2.33 |
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3.19 |
2.86 |
2.36 |
 Watch |
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3.1 |
2.7 |
2.3 |
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3.22 |
3.22 |
2.18 |
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2.9 |
3.1 |
2.3 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.03 ↑
(2.56) |
3.03 ↑
(3) |
2.29 ↓
(2.56) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Al-Ahed
30% | Draw
30.1% | Nejmeh
39.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Ahed has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Ahed's form might have worsened.Nejmeh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahed than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Ahed, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nejmeh than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nejmeh, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Al Ahed - Nejmeh Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Al-Ahed (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ahed (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, El Fadl A. ⚽, Kourani H. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 77', 0 - 2, Al Haj A. ⚽, Lucumi J. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahed won 1.Al-Ahed has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).Nejmeh is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).Al-Ahed may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahed won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:24. (average 0.8:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ahed won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 0.9:1.1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | Nejmeh SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
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| 6 | Al Ahed | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Lebanese Premier League | | | 12.06.26 | Nejmeh - Al-Ahed | 1:0 | | 01.11.25 | Al-Ahed - Nejmeh | 0:4 | | 03.07.25 | Nejmeh - Al-Ahed | 4:1 | | 18.05.25 | Nejmeh - Al-Ahed | 1:1 | | 19.04.25 | Al-Ahed - Nejmeh | 1:0 | | 26.01.25 | Nejmeh - Al-Ahed | 1:2 | | 20.06.24 | Nejmeh - Al-Ahed | 1:0 |
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