Match Info

Super Cup - Semi-finals

Date: 6 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Hazza bin Zayed Stadium (Al Ain)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DSports 2
Brazil	ESPN 4
Ecuador	DSports 2
South-america	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	DSports 2
Venezuela	DSports 2


	Al Ahly Cairo		Ceramica Cleopatra

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.3	5.5
	1.68	3.45	6.46
	1.53	3.53	7.55	Watch
	1.7	3.26	5.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.75)	3.39 ↑ (3.28)	6.28 ↑ (4.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Ahly Cairo
57.3%

Draw
27.8%

Ceramica Cleopatra
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

28.2%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

28.2%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Ahly Cairo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Ceramica Cleopatra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceramica Cleopatra than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	9.1%	0%

Al Ahly Cairo - Ceramica Cleopatra Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Ceramica Cleopatra (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al Ahly Cairo will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al Ahly Cairo will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Al Ahly (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Ceramica Cleopatra (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. El Shenawy M. (C) 30. Hany M. 6. Ibrahim Y. 2. Marei Y. 36. Kouka A. 9. Gradisar N. 17. Bencharki A. 23. Dieng A. 7. Trezeguet 13. Ateya M. 25. Zizo	18. Bassam M. (C) 4. Karim Nedved 5. Nabil R. 24. Arthur J. 20. Sadek M. 17. El Solia A. 29. Otaka M. 10. Belhadji A. 21. Adel M. 23. Lakay F. 7. Issa I.
Substitutes
38. Abdallah M. 11. Abdelkader A. 19. Afsha 5. Ben Romdhane M. 3. Kamal O. 29. Mohamed T. 4. Ramadan A. 31. Shobeir O. (G) 12. Shokry M.	28. Amr K. 27. El Sayed H. 2. Hany A. 1. Koko (G) 14. Mohamed I. 19. Mukka A. 22. Reda M. 97. Samir A. 6. Samir S.
Coaches
Thorup J.	Maher A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Trezeguet ⚽, Zizo (A),
41', 1 - 1, Otaka M. ⚽, Belhadji A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 2 - 1, Gradisar N. ⚽, Bencharki A. (A),
57', Karim Nedved ↓, Amr K. ↑,
57', Sadek M. ↓, El Sayed H. ↑,
63', El Sayed H. 🟨,
68', Gradisar N. ↓, Mohamed T. ↑,
69', Issa I. ↓, Mukka A. ↑,
73', Zizo 🟨,
78', El Solia A. ↓, Reda M. ↑,
79', Zizo ↓, Ben Romdhane M. ↑,
79', Bencharki A. ↓, Ramadan A. ↑,
89', Trezeguet ↓, Abdelkader A. ↑,

Preview

Neutral location - Hazza bin Zayed Stadium.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Ahly won 5.

Al Ahly is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ceramica Cleopatra is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Al Ahly may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Al Ahly is considered a favorite.

We predict that Al Ahly will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Al Ahly won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 29:7. (average 2.2:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Al Ahly won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:4. (average 2.8:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Ahly Cairo
Egyptian Premier League
02.11.25	Al Ahly Cairo - Al Masry	0:0 ✺
29.10.25	Petrojet - Al Ahly Cairo	1:1 ✺
CAF Champions League
25.10.25	Al Ahly Cairo - Aigle Noir	1:0 ✺
Egyptian Premier League
22.10.25	Al Ahly Cairo - Al-Ittihad Alexandria	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Kahrabaa Ismailia - Al Ahly Cairo	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TTWWW
- Ceramica Cleopatra FC
Egyptian Premier League
02.11.25	Ceramica Cleopatra - Petrojet	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Kahrabaa Ismailia - Ceramica Cleopatra	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Ceramica Cleopatra - Tala`ea El-Gaish	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Haras El-Hodood - Ceramica Cleopatra	0:3 ✺
29.09.25	El Gouna - Ceramica Cleopatra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
19.09.25	Al Ahly Cairo - Ceramica Cleopatra	1:0
13.05.25	Ceramica Cleopatra - Al Ahly Cairo	0:1
02.11.24	Al Ahly Cairo - Ceramica Cleopatra	5:2
Egyptian Super Cup
20.10.24	Al Ahly Cairo - Ceramica Cleopatra	2:1
Egyptian Premier League
29.07.24	Al Ahly Cairo - Ceramica Cleopatra	4:1
Egyptian Super Cup
25.12.23	Al Ahly Cairo - Ceramica Cleopatra	1:0
Egyptian Premier League
08.11.23	Ceramica Cleopatra - Al Ahly Cairo	1:2

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