Match Info

Premier League - Round 9

Date: 29 September 2025, Monday

Location: Cairo International Stadium (Cairo)

Referee: Elsayed M. (Egy)

Where to Watch on TV:


Egypt	Kora Plus


	El Gouna		Ceramica Cleopatra

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.45	2.88	2.2	Watch
	3.79	2.98	2.27
	3.69	2.81	2.23	Watch
	3.5	2.9	2.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↓ (3.91)	2.89 ↓ (3)	2.23 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Gouna
25.9%

Draw
32.3%

Ceramica Cleopatra
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

31.4%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

31.5%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Gouna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Ceramica Cleopatra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Gouna than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceramica Cleopatra than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	54.5%	45.5%

El Gouna - Ceramica Cleopatra Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ceramica Cleopatra will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Alaa M. (G) 36. Turay A. 5. El Shimi S. 3. Khaled A. 2. Taalab A. 14. El Sayed N. (C) 6. Ibrahim H. 19. El Sayed B. 24. El Zahdi A. 9. Mohsen M. 27. Randrianantenaina A.	18. Bassam M. (G) 21. Adel M. 6. Samir S. 5. Nabil R. 33. El Debes K. 17. El Solia A. 4. Karim Nedved 7. Issa I. 19. Mukka A. 23. Lakay F. 11. Awujoola S.
Substitutes
20. Belia A. 22. El Nahas M. 25. El Said A. 30. Emad M. 12. Hassouna M. 18. Jatta A. 90. Karim A. 10. Mahmoud M. 1. Masoud A. (G)	15. Abdelfattah K. 10. Belhadji A. 26. El Gazar O. 66. El Maghraby M. 1. Koko (G) 14. Mohamed I. 29. Otaka M. 22. Reda M. 20. Sadek M.
Coaches
Mostafa A.	Maher A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Mohsen M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 1 - 0, Mohsen M. (Pen),
62', Adel M. ↓, Sadek M. ↑,
62', Karim Nedved ↓, Belhadji A. ↑,
69', El Sayed N. 🟨,
69', Issa I. 🟨,
69', El Solia A. (Pen),
76', 1 - 1, Nabil R. ⚽, Lakay F. (A),
77', Mohsen M. ↓, Hassouna M. ↑,
77', El Zahdi A. ↓, El Nahas M. ↑,
82', Awujoola S. ↓, Otaka M. ↑,
82', El Debes K. ↓, El Gazar O. ↑,
84', Randrianantenaina A. ↓, Emad M. ↑,
86', Hassouna M. 🟨,
90+1', El Sayed N. ↓, Karim A. ↑,
90+1', Khaled A. ↓, Jatta A. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Gouna won 1.

Recent performances by El Gouna have been up and down (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ceramica Cleopatra is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ceramica Cleopatra could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, El Gouna won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, El Gouna won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

El Gouna - the odds 3.91 are the expected chance of winning is 24.11%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Ceramica Cleopatra - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 44.47%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- El Gouna
Egyptian Premier League
23.09.25	Zamalek - El Gouna	1:1 ✺
17.09.25	El Gouna - Petrojet	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Haras El-Hodood - El Gouna	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	El Gouna - ZED	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	ENPPI - El Gouna	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TTLTT
- Ceramica Cleopatra FC
Egyptian Premier League
24.09.25	Ceramica Cleopatra - Modern Sport	2:0 ✺
19.09.25	Al Ahly Cairo - Ceramica Cleopatra	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Ceramica Cleopatra - Smouha	1:0 ✺
29.08.25	El Mokawloon El Arab - Ceramica Cleopatra	0:1 ✺
20.08.25	Ceramica Cleopatra - ENPPI	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Cup
15.03.25	Ceramica Cleopatra - El Gouna	3:1
Egyptian Premier League
22.02.25	El Gouna - Ceramica Cleopatra	2:0
07.07.24	El Gouna - Ceramica Cleopatra	0:0
20.02.24	Ceramica Cleopatra - El Gouna	1:1
10.05.22	Ceramica Cleopatra - El Gouna	3:2
26.10.21	El Gouna - Ceramica Cleopatra	1:1
25.06.21	El Gouna - Ceramica Cleopatra	3:2

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