The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Al Ahly Cairo 22.7%
Draw 29.1%
El Mokawloon El Arab 48.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37%
29.7%
33.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.5%
29.3%
33.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Ahly Cairo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al Ahly Cairo's form might have worsened.
El Mokawloon El Arab has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting El Mokawloon El Arab's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (+13.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al Ahly Cairo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Mokawloon El Arab than the current prediction. (-14.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for El Mokawloon El Arab, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
7.7%
5.1%
87.2%
Al Ahly Cairo - El Mokawloon El Arab Predictions
Users Predictions:
39 users predict this event. Al Ahly will win (votes: 3 - 7.7%). El Mokawloon will win (votes: 34 - 87.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for El Mokawloon: 76.7% โ 97.7%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - El Mokawloon (1.96) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
DNB - El Mokawloon (1.38) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): El Mokawloon El Arab will win (20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%) ๐ฅ Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 26 Selected Experts predict this event. El Mokawloon (votes: 24 - 92.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
50. Gamal H. (G) 34. Abdin A. 58. Medhat E. 41. El Shamy M. 48. Moawad O. 47. Adel I. 49. Assiouty I. 4142. Raafat M. 38. Abdallah M. (C) 39. Abdelkarim H. 40. Ibrahim K.
1. Aboul Saoud M. (C) 2. Abed A. 21. Abdellah I. 3. Hamed M. 23. Ochaya J. 14. Gamal M. 20. Gaber I. 25. Ojera J. 10. Naguib S. 22. Antar M. 28. Okoronkwo B.
Substitutes
56. Atef M. 51. Atef Y. 53. Attia B. 64. Attia M. 59. El Degawy H. 62. Labib M. 43. Mostafa H. 35. Zaalouk M.
74. Abdelnasser M. 19. Al Kadi I. 15. El Tayeeb A. 12. El Wahsh O. 18. Fawzi M. (G) 13. Hozian M. 49. Onyemaechi K. 78. Tito A. 77. Walid M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Gamal M. (Penalty Awarded),
24', Hamed M. 🟨,
33', Abdelkarim H. ↓, Zaalouk M. ↑,
34', Gaber I. 🟨,
41', 0 - 2, Ojera J. ⚽, Gaber I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gaber I. ↓, El Wahsh O. ↑,
59', Abed A. 🟨,
62', Okoronkwo B. ↓, Onyemaechi K. ↑,
62', Naguib S. ↓, Abdelnasser M. ↑,
62', Ibrahim K. ↓, Atef M. ↑,
65', 0 - 3, Onyemaechi K. ⚽, Gamal M. (A),
71', Hamed M. ↓, Al Kadi I. ↑,
73', Adel I. ↓, Mostafa H. ↑,
73', Raafat M. ↓, Atef Y. ↑,
73', Moawad O. ↓, Attia B. ↑,
82', Abed A. ↓, Tito A. ↑,
85', Mostafa H. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Ahly won 5.
Both teams are currently in poor form.
El Mokawloon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al Ahly won 17 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 45:12. (average 2.3:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Al Ahly won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 24:9. (average 2.2:0.8).
Watch
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Gamal H. (G) 
Ibrahim K. 
Ochaya J. 
Attia M. 
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