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Current Win Probability
El Mokawloon El Arab 30.7%
Draw 35%
Smouha 34.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.4%
35.4%
35.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.3%
35.3%
35.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Mokawloon El Arab has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Smouha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Mokawloon El Arab than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smouha than the current prediction. (+1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
9.1%
63.6%
27.3%
El Mokawloon El Arab - Smouha Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. El Mokawloon will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Smouha will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% โ 92%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Smouha (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DNB - El Mokawloon (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. El Mokawloon (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Smouha (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Aboul Saoud M. (C) 26. Kahraba 21. Abdellah I. 3. Hamed M. 12. El Wahsh O. 23. Ochaya J. 25. Ojera J. 14. Gamal M. 20. Gaber I. 10. Naguib S. 9. Salim M.
28. Mayhoub A. (G) 2. Hafez H. 24. Ragab M. 4. Dabash M. 6. Amer A. (C) 15. Samadou A. 33. Yehia A. 35. Fawzi A. 8. Fekri S. 7. El Sisi A. 9. Ashraf H.
Substitutes
2. Abed A. 8. Abo Amna E. S. 19. Al Kadi I. 22. Antar M. 16. El Hadary M. (G) 15. El Tayeeb A. 13. Hozian M. 49. Onyemaechi K. 17. Sobhi M.
20. Badji P. 19. Fathi E. 30. Hassan A. 14. Juhayna 22. Khaled A. 66. Mohamed K. 21. Mostafa M. 11. Reda S. 1. Soliman E. (G)
Coaches
Elsoudany S.
Abdelaziz A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
24', Naguib S. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Yehia A. ⚽, Amer A. (A),
45+2', 1 - 1, Naguib S. ⚽, Ochaya J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Fawzi A. 🟨,
47', Fekri S. 🟨,
60', Fawzi A. ↓, Badji P. ↑,
69', Salim M. ↓, Sobhi M. ↑,
71', Ashraf H. ↓, Juhayna ↑,
71', Fekri S. ↓, Mohamed K. ↑,
72', Dabash M. 🟨,
81', Naguib S. ↓, El Tayeeb A. ↑,
81', El Wahsh O. ↓, Antar M. ↑,
89', Ojera J. ↓, Onyemaechi K. ↑,
90+2', Yehia A. ↓, Mostafa M. ↑,
90+2', El Sisi A. ↓, Khaled A. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Mokawloon won 0.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Smouha may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, El Mokawloon won 4 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:28. (average 1.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, El Mokawloon won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.9:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Smouha - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 35.17%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.
Egypt
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Aboul Saoud M. (C) 
Ochaya J. 
Samadou A. 
Onyemaechi K. 
Badji P. 
Mohamed K. 
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