Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 13

Date: 2 January 2026, Friday

Location: King Abdullah Sports City (Jeddah)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, SupeSport ESPN 1
Asia	JACO Middle East
Australia	Channel 10
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	BandSports, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 1
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
India	FanCode, FanCode
Kenya	Gotv
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 1
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 5
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
Usa	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox


	Al-Ahli Jeddah		Al-Nassr Riyadh

	1	X	2
	3.5	4.1	1.7
	3.75	4	1.78
	3.55	4.15	1.78
	2.18	3.87	2.79	Watch
	3.3	3.9	1.8
	3.79	4.1	1.69	Watch
	3.4	4.5	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (3.17)	4.09 ↑ (3.52)	1.91 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Ahli Jeddah
27.9%

Draw
22.9%

Al-Nassr Riyadh
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

26.2%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

26.6%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Ahli Jeddah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Al-Nassr Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Nassr Riyadh, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.3%	5.3%	89.5%

Al Ahli Jeddah - Al Nassr Riyadh Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 4.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al-Nassr Riyadh will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al-Nassr Riyadh will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Al Sanbi A. (G) 27. Majrashi A. (C) 28. Demiral M. 5. Sulaiman M. 2. Al Hawsawi Z. 20. Matheus Goncalves 30. Al Johani Z. 6. Atangana V. 13. Galeno 9. Al Buraikan F. 17. Toney I.	1. Al Aqidi N. (G) 2. Al Ghannam S. 5. Al Amri A. 26. Martinez I. 96. Al Nasser S. 21. Coman K. 11. Brozovic M. 20. Angelo 80. Wesley 7. Ronaldo C. (C) 79. Joao Felix
Substitutes
62. Abdo A. (G) 29. Abdulrahman M. 47. Abu Al Shamat S. 87. Al Attar R. 14. Al Muwallad E. 32. Dams M. 46. Hamidou R. 60. Madani Y. 10. Millot E.	19. Al Hassan A. 17. Al Khaibari A. 83. Al Najdi S. 36. Al Najjar R. (G) 12. Boushal N. 77. Camara H. 29. Ghareeb A. 16. Maran M. 23. Yahya A.
Coaches
Jaissle M.	Jesus J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
7', 1 - 0, Toney I. ⚽, Galeno (A),
20', 2 - 0, Toney I. ⚽, Majrashi A. (A),
31', 2 - 1, Al Amri A. ⚽, Al Ghannam S. (A),
44', 2 - 2, Al Amri A. ⚽, Brozovic M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Al Ghannam S. ↓, Boushal N. ↑,
46', Al Nasser S. ↓, Yahya A. ↑,
55', 3 - 2, Demiral M. ⚽, Toney I. (A),
61', Yahya A. 🟨,
64', Wesley ↓, Al Khaibari A. ↑,
66', Atangana V. 🟨,
77', Matheus Goncalves ↓, Abu Al Shamat S. ↑,
79', Al Sanbi A. 🟨,
81', Al Hawsawi Z. ↓, Abdulrahman M. ↑,
86', Angelo ↓, Ghareeb A. ↑,
90', Martinez I. 🟨,
90+3', Al Amri A. ↓, Al Hassan A. ↑,
90+3', Al Johani Z. ↓, Al Muwallad E. ↑,
90+5', Abu Al Shamat S. 🟨,
90+6', Majrashi A. 🟥,
90+6', Joao Felix 🟨,
90+9', Boushal N. 🟥,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli won 1.

In recent matches, Al-Ahli has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Al-Nassr is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Al-Nassr is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 23:33. (average 1.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ahli won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.8:1.7).

Outrights of Saudi Professional League for now

Al Ahli SC: 15.97% Al Nassr: 14.87%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Al Nassr	7	5	1	1	16:7	9	16
6	Al Ahli SC	7	4	0	3	16:10	6	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Ahli Jeddah
Saudi Professional League
30.12.25	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Feiha	2:0 ✺
26.12.25	Al Fateh - Al-Ahli Jeddah	2:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
22.12.25	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:5 ✺
Saudi King Cup
28.11.25	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Qadisiya	4:3 penalties ✺
AFC Champions League
24.11.25	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Sharjah	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWWL
- Al-Nassr Riyadh
Saudi Professional League
30.12.25	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2:2 ✺
27.12.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Akhdoud	3:0 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
24.12.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Zawraa	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.12.25	Al-Wahda - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2:4 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
26.11.25	Istiklol Dushanbe - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Super Cup
23.08.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah	2:3 penalties
Saudi Professional League
13.02.25	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2:3
13.09.24	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:1
15.03.24	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:1
22.09.23	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah	4:3
28.05.22	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:1
26.11.21	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:2

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