The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shabab Al-Ahli 30%
Draw 26.9%
Al Ain 43.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.9%
26.4%
35.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.1%
25.6%
34.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shabab Al-Ahli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shabab Al-Ahli's form might have worsened.
Al Ain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al Ain's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shabab Al-Ahli than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shabab Al-Ahli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Ain than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al Ain, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Shabab Al Ahli - Al Ain Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Al Meqebaali H. (G) 8. Al Mansouri M. 20. Azmoun S. 80. Breno 6. Ezatolahi S. (C) 4. Faes W. 44. Fernandes J. 3. Gomes I. 31. Kauan Santos 88. Maksimovic N. 24. Markelo J.
17. Eisa K. (C) 4. Ben Khaleq Y. 10. Kaku 19. Lazaro V. 20. Palacios M. 25. Rabia R. 13. Rahimi E. H. 21. Rahimi S. 2. Rodrigues R. 6. Skoko D. 70. Traore A. K.
Substitutes
21. Adil S. 26. Al Nuaimi E. 17. Al Senani K. (G) 10. Cartabia F. 5. Irala E. 55. Juan Alvina 30. Keita O. 19. Mateusao 75. Mateus Henrique 33. Matheus Donelli (G) 16. Rikelme 70. Thiago
18. Bello Ilou B. 1. Bu Senda M. (G) 15. Erik Menezes 7. Giakoumakis G. 5. Gijselhart T. 88. Hamid M. 35. Hassan S. (G) 30. Hazim Mohammad 3. Marcos Maia 38. Ndiaye I. 56. Niang A.
Coaches
Jardine A.
Ivic V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
18', Skoko D. 🟥,
20', 1 - 0, Ezatolahi S. ⚽,
30', Rahimi S. ↓, Gijselhart T. ↑,
35', 2 - 0, Ezatolahi S. ⚽,
45+6', 2 - 1, Palacios M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Rahimi E. H. ↓, Giakoumakis G. ↑,
47', Breno 🟨,
55', Gijselhart T. 🟨,
61', Ezatolahi S. 🟨,
68', 2 - 2, Faes W. (Own goal),
68', Lazaro V. ↓, Niang A. ↑,
69', Al Mansouri M. ↓, Juan Alvina ↑,
69', Markelo J. ↓, Mateus Henrique ↑,
78', Ezatolahi S. 🟥,
83', Rodrigues R. ↓, Erik Menezes ↑,
90', Faes W. 🟨,
90+1', Breno ↓, Irala E. ↑,
90+1', Kauan Santos ↓, Rikelme ↑,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
95', Azmoun S. ↓, Mateusao ↑,
100', Fernandes J. ↓, Keita O. ↑,
101', Palacios M. ↓, Marcos Maia ↑,
101', Kaku ↓, Ndiaye I. ↑,
116', 3 - 2, Mateusao ⚽,
120+2', Ben Khaleq Y. 🟨,
120+2', Kauan Santos 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shabab Al-Ahli won 2.
Shabab Al-Ahli is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Al Ain is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Shabab Al-Ahli has recorded 7 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:30 (averaging 1.3:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Shabab Al-Ahli against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with 8:15 goals (averaging 0.8:1.5 per game).
Austria
Brazil
Canada
France
Germany
Japan
New Zealand
Portugal
Spain
Switzerland
Usa
International
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Al Meqebaali H. (G) 
Azmoun S. 
Breno 
Faes W. 
Fernandes J. 
Maksimovic N. 
Markelo J. 
Ben Khaleq Y. 
Kaku 
Lazaro V. 
Palacios M. 
Rabia R. 
Traore A. K. 
Keita O. 
Bello Ilou B. 
Giakoumakis G. 
Gijselhart T. 
Ndiaye I. 
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