Match Info

UAE League - Round 22

Date: 10 April 2026, Friday

Location: Tahnoun Bin Mohamed Stadium (Al Ain)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Al Ain		Shabab Al-Ahli

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.48	3.15	2.68	Watch
	2.64	3.15	2.88
	2.57	3.19	2.72	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.7
	2.55	3.22	2.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.73)	3.12 ↑ (2.96)	2.74 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Ain
36.4%

Draw
29.7%

Shabab Al-Ahli
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

31.4%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

32.4%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Ain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Shabab Al-Ahli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Ain than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shabab Al-Ahli than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Al Ain - Shabab Al Ahli Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Al Ain will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Eisa K. (C) 56. Niang A. 14. Ratnik M. 25. Rabia R. 4. Ben Khaleq Y. 2. Rodrigues R. 20. Palacios M. 70. Traore A. K. 10. Kaku 21. Rahimi S. 9. Laba K.	22. Al Meqebaali H. (G) 31. Kauan Santos 4. Planic B. 13. Renan 16. Rikelme 14. Garcia D. 80. Breno 10. Cartabia F. (C) 57. Yuri Cesar 77. Guilherme 20. Azmoun S.
Substitutes
8. Al Baloushi M. 7. Awad M. 1. Bu Senda M. (G) 15. Erik Menezes 35. Hassan S. (G) 97. Jasic A. 13. Rahimi E. H. 77. Sarki R. 89. Sut A. 68. Ziane S.	5. Abbas W. 21. Adil S. 18. Al Mansouri M. 1. Al Menhali R. (G) 26. Al Nuaimi E. 25. Gomes I. 28. Gonzalez Baquero S. 79. Joao Marcelo 15. Kaiky 55. Maqdami R. (G) 23. Seifi M.
Coaches
Ivic V.	Sousa P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Niang A. 🟨,
30', Laba K. 🟨,
31', Garcia D. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Rabia R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', 1 - 1, Yuri Cesar ⚽, Guilherme (A),
56', 2 - 1, Laba K. ⚽,
65', Cartabia F. ↓, Al Mansouri M. ↑,
65', Garcia D. ↓, Kaiky ↑,
67', 2 - 2, Yuri Cesar ⚽,
69', Planic B. 🟨,
70', Niang A. ↓, Erik Menezes ↑,
70', Kaku ↓, Jasic A. ↑,
70', Rodrigues R. ↓, Al Baloushi M. ↑,
72', Rikelme ↓, Gomes I. ↑,
78', Laba K. ↓, Rahimi E. H. ↑,
87', 3 - 2, Rahimi E. H. ⚽, Erik Menezes (A),
89', Breno ↓, Adil S. ↑,
90+1', Jasic A. 🟨,
90+3', Kaiky 🟨,
90+7', Rahimi S. ↓, Sut A. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Ain won 2.

Al Ain is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Shabab Al-Ahli is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al Ain won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:23. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Al Ain won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.3:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Al Ain	5	4	1	0	12:5	7	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Ain FC
UAE Football League
05.04.26	Al Ain - Ajman Club	2:0 ✺
UAE Presidents Cup
22.03.26	United FC - Al Ain	0:2 ET ✺
UAE Football League
17.03.26	Al-Wahda - Al Ain	0:1 ✺
12.03.26	Al Ain - Al Wasl	2:0 ✺
27.02.26	Khor Fakkan - Al Ain	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWW
- Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
UAE Football League
04.04.26	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Jazira	2:1 ✺
UAE Presidents Cup
21.03.26	Al-Jazira - Shabab Al-Ahli	1:0 ✺
UAE Football League
16.03.26	Dibba Al Fujairah - Shabab Al-Ahli	0:4 ✺
11.03.26	Shabab Al-Ahli - Ittihad Kalba	5:1 ✺
07.03.26	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Wahda	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

UAE Football League
25.09.25	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al Ain	0:1
07.04.25	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al Ain	0:0
10.01.25	Al Ain - Shabab Al-Ahli	0:1
27.04.24	Al Ain - Shabab Al-Ahli	1:2
26.11.23	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al Ain	0:3
01.04.23	Al Ain - Shabab Al-Ahli	1:1
UAE Presidents Cup
06.03.23	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al Ain	0:2

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