The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shabab Al-Ahli 53.5%
Draw 25.5%
Al-Wahda 21.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.6%
29.2%
23.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.7%
28.5%
22.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shabab Al-Ahli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shabab Al-Ahli's performance.
Al-Wahda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shabab Al-Ahli than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Wahda than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Shabab Al Ahli - Al Wahda Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Al Meqebaali H. (G) 75. Mateus Henrique 4. Planic B. 25. Gomes I. 31. Kauan Santos 80. Breno 6. Ezatolahi S. 10. Cartabia F. (C) 57. Yuri Cesar 77. Guilherme 19. Mateusao
36. Ahmed Z. (G) 32. Guga 3. Pimenta Peres Lopes L. 31. Ivkovic S. 2. Burghash M. 10. Tadic D. 12. Hamad A. 25. Jadsom 7. Caio Canedo 70. Khribin O. M. (C) 35. Benteke C.
Substitutes
21. Adil S. 11. Al Ghassani Y. 18. Al Mansouri M. 1. Al Menhali R. (G) 26. Al Nuaimi E. 20. Azmoun S. 14. Garcia D. 15. Kaiky 88. Maksimovic N. 55. Maqdami R. (G) 13. Renan 23. Seifi M.
1. Al Shamsi M. (G) 26. Ammar H. (G) 94. Diarra B. 6. Ghorbani M. 11. Kruspzky F. 8. Mohammed A. 30. Ogbu F. I. 38. Pradas A. 27. Trayi L.
Coaches
Sousa P.
Milanic D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
38', Jadsom 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Mateusao ⚽, Guilherme (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Breno ↓, Maksimovic N. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Kauan Santos (Own goal),
62', Ezatolahi S. ↓, Al Nuaimi E. ↑,
63', Cartabia F. ↓, Al Mansouri M. ↑,
63', Caio Canedo ↓, Diarra B. ↑,
69', Mateusao ↓, Azmoun S. ↑,
72', Benteke C. ↓, Kruspzky F. ↑,
84', Mateus Henrique ↓, Renan ↑,
89', Jadsom ↓, Ghorbani M. ↑,
90+1', Yuri Cesar 🟨,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day โ two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shabab Al-Ahli won 2.
Shabab Al-Ahli is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Al-Wahda has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Recently, Al-Wahda has had a series of home games.
In this match, Shabab Al-Ahli is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shabab Al-Ahli won 9 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:24. (average 1.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Shabab Al-Ahli won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:13. (average 1.9:1.2).