Match Info

LEBANON: PREMIER LEAGUE - LOSERS STAGE - ROUND 8

Date: 24 February 2023, Friday


	Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli		Al-Safa Beyrut

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.95	2.75
	2.58	2.92	2.87
	2.43	3.13	2.83	Watch
	2.35	2.85	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (3.77)	2.96 ↓ (3.23)	2.89 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli
37.5%

Draw
30.8%

Al-Safa Beyrut
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

28.3%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

27.3%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli's performance.

Al-Safa Beyrut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Safa Beyrut might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Safa Beyrut than the current prediction. (+17.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Safa Beyrut could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Al Akhaa Al Ahli - Al Safa Beyrut Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Al-Akhaa will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Al-Safa will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Akhaa won 2.

Al-Akhaa is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Al-Safa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Al-Akhaa won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Akhaa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli Aley
Lebanese Premier League
19.02.23	Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli - Tadamon Sour	0:0 ✺
12.02.23	Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli - Tripoli	4:0 ✺
04.02.23	Tripoli - Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli	3:1 ✺
27.01.23	Al-Safa Beyrut - Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli	1:0 ✺
21.01.23	Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli - Hekmeh	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWLLL
- Al-Safa Beyrut
Lebanese Premier League
19.02.23	Tripoli - Al-Safa Beyrut	1:1 ✺
11.02.23	Al-Safa Beyrut - Hekmeh	0:0 ✺
04.02.23	Tadamon Sour - Al-Safa Beyrut	4:1 ✺
27.01.23	Al-Safa Beyrut - Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli	1:0 ✺
21.01.23	Salam Zgharta - Al-Safa Beyrut	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Lebanese Premier League
27.01.23	Al-Safa Beyrut - Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli	1:0
09.09.22	Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli - Al-Safa Beyrut	1:3
24.04.22	Al-Safa Beyrut - Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli	4:0
24.10.20	Al-Safa Beyrut - Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli	0:2
26.10.18	Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli - Al-Safa Beyrut	2:0
16.02.17	Al-Safa Beyrut - Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli	1:4

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