Match Info

SAUDI ARABIA: Saudi Professional League - Round 9

Date: 31 October 2024, Thursday

Location: Prince Hathloul bin Abdul Aziz Sports City (Najran)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	GOBX Arabic
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1


	Al Akhdoud		Al-Orobah

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.8	4
	1.78	3.7	4.1
	1.75	3.75	4.33	Watch
	1.81	3.78	4.37
	1.79	3.74	4.2	Watch
	1.75	3.5	3.7
	1.75	3.7	4.17	Watch
	1.75	3.75	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.02)	3.72 ↑ (3.48)	4.15 ↑ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Akhdoud
52.6%

Draw
25%

Al-Orobah
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

27%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

26.8%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Akhdoud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al Akhdoud's performance.

Al-Orobah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Akhdoud than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al Akhdoud that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Orobah than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	23.1%	30.8%

Al Akhdoud - Al Orobah Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Al Akhdoud will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Al-Orobah will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al Akhdoud: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Vitor P. (G) 98. Al Qaydhi M. 27. Faraj A. 4. Al Rubaie S. (C) 17. Lowe D. 66. Petros 18. Pedroza J. 10. Saviour G. 11. Musona K. 13. Bassogog C. 9. Kone I.	28. Coucke G. (G) 12. Al Quamiri N. 3. Kandouss I. 33. Al Shuwaish H. 13. Al Zubaidi I. 80. Al Rashidi F. 6. Al Qarni M. 32. Al Roqi S. 73. Muhar K. 7. Gudmundsson J. (C) 21. Boateng E.
Substitutes
14. Al Abbas S. 12. Al Hatila A. 21. Al Jahif M. 1. Al Najjar R. (G) 2. Al Saeed M. 8. Al Zabdani H. 15. Asiri N. 87. Hawsawi G. 19. Salem S.	11. Al Maqati H. 1. Al Ruwaili R. (G) 90. Al Saiari M. 18. Al Shammari A. 27. Al Terais F. 29. Al Zubaidi F. 66. Barnawi M. 9. Young B. 5. Zouma K.
Coaches
Tomas S.	Pacheco A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', Al Zubaidi I. ↓, Al Shammari A. ↑,
45+5', 1 - 0, Kone I. (Pen),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Saviour G. ↓, Al Jahif M. ↑,
55', Al Rashidi F. ↓, Al Terais F. ↑,
55', Al Roqi S. ↓, Al Saiari M. ↑,
63', 2 - 0, Bassogog C. ⚽, Lowe D. (A),
76', Kone I. ↓, Al Abbas S. ↑,
77', Al Quamiri N. ↓, Al Maqati H. ↑,
77', Boateng E. ↓, Young B. ↑,
80', 3 - 0, Al Rubaie S. ⚽, Pedroza J. (A),
82', 4 - 0, Bassogog C. ⚽, Pedroza J. (A),
85', Bassogog C. ↓, Al Hatila A. ↑,
85', Musona K. ↓, Al Zabdani H. ↑,
88', Al Qaydhi M. ↓, Al Saeed M. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 12).

Al Akhdoud is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Al-Orobah is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Al Akhdoud is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Al Akhdoud won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1.8:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Al Akhdoud won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Akhdoud Club
Saudi Professional League
25.10.24	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al Akhdoud	1:1 ✺
20.10.24	Al Akhdoud - Al-Riyadh	0:1 ✺
03.10.24	Al Akhdoud - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	1:2 ✺
28.09.24	Al Fateh - Al Akhdoud	2:4 ✺
Saudi King Cup
22.09.24	Al Akhdoud - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TLLWL
- Al-Orobah FC
Saudi Professional League
24.10.24	Al-Orobah - Al-Shabab Riyadh	0:3 ✺
20.10.24	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Orobah	2:3 ✺
05.10.24	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Orobah	3:0 ✺
28.09.24	Al-Orobah - Damac	1:0 ✺
Saudi King Cup
22.09.24	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Orobah	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
09.04.23	Al Akhdoud - Al-Orobah	4:2
08.11.22	Al-Orobah - Al Akhdoud	1:0
18.05.22	Al-Orobah - Al Akhdoud	1:1
29.12.21	Al Akhdoud - Al-Orobah	2:1

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