Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 17

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Prince Hathloul bin Abdul Aziz Sports City (Najran)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
China	QQ Sports
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah App, Thmanyah


	Al Akhdoud		Al-Riyadh

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.88	2.63
	2.52	3.1	2.72
	2.59	3.21	2.73	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.6
	2.5	3.02	2.64	Watch
	2.57	3.2	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.49)	3.05 ↓ (3.48)	2.67 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Akhdoud
35.9%

Draw
29.9%

Al-Riyadh
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

26.9%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

26.5%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Akhdoud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Al-Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Akhdoud than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Riyadh than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Al Akhdoud - Al Riyadh Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Al Akhdoud will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Al-Riyadh will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al Akhdoud: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Al Akhdoud (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Samuel Portugal (G) 21. Abu Abd M. 4. Al Rubaie S. (C) 17. Gul G. 22. Gunter K. 11. Ince B. 13. Bassogog C. 18. Pedroza J. 6. Petros 93. Nguen T. 14. Al Abbas S.	82. Borjan M. (C) 23. Al Khaibari M. 35. Khatir A. 5. Barbet Y. 33. Al Harfi A. 19. Soro I. 20. Toze 7. Al Boardi O. 8. Bayesh I. 9. Sylla M. 10. Okou T.
Substitutes
20. Al Harthi S. 12. Al Hatila A. 10. Al Jahif M. 1. Al Najjar R. (G) 98. Al Qaydhi M. 3. Al Salem A. 8. Al Zabdani H. 87. Hawsawi G. 19. Salem S.	11. Al Absi K. 80. Al Khaibari A. I. 22. Al Shammari A. (G) 88. Al Shehri Y. 14. Al Shubili T. 99. Harun S. 17. Hassoun A. 12. Hazazi S. 87. Tambakti M. H.
Coaches
Sumudica M.	Carreno D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Al Khaibari M. 🟨,
19', Al Boardi O. 🟨,
25', Al Rubaie S. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Toze ⚽, Soro I. (A),
28', Petros 🟨,
45+2', Nguen T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Gul G. ↓, Al Salem A. ↑,
47', Nguen T. 🟨,
56', Khatir A. 🟨,
59', Al Boardi O. ↓, Al Khaibari A. I. ↑,
59', Okou T. ↓, Al Absi K. ↑,
59', Khatir A. ↓, Al Shehri Y. ↑,
61', Al Absi K. 🟨,
62', 1 - 1, Al Rubaie S. ⚽, Al Abbas S. (A),
71', Pedroza J. 🟨,
75', Al Abbas S. ↓, Al Harthi S. ↑,
77', Gunter K. ↓, Al Qaydhi M. ↑,
79', Soro I. ↓, Haroun S. ↑,
85', Bassogog C. ↓, Al Hatila A. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Al Rubaie S. ⚽, Pedroza J. (A),
90+5', 2 - 2, Haroun S. ⚽, Sylla M. (A),

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Akhdoud won 1.

Al Akhdoud is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Al-Riyadh is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Al-Riyadh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Al Akhdoud won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Al Akhdoud won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Al Riyadh	7	2	2	3	8:16	-8	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Akhdoud Club
Saudi Professional League
16.01.26	Al-Khaleej - Al Akhdoud	4:1 ✺
13.01.26	Al Akhdoud - Al-Kholood	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Al Akhdoud - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:1 ✺
02.01.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al Akhdoud	2:0 ✺
30.12.25	Al Akhdoud - Damac	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLLL
- Al-Riyadh SC
Saudi Professional League
18.01.26	Al-Riyadh - Al-Taawoun	1:3 ✺
13.01.26	Al Fateh - Al-Riyadh	3:1 ✺
10.01.26	Al-Riyadh - Al-Feiha	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Riyadh	4:0 ✺
29.12.25	Al-Riyadh - Al Hazem	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
08.03.25	Al-Riyadh - Al Akhdoud	1:0
20.10.24	Al Akhdoud - Al-Riyadh	0:1
01.03.24	Al Akhdoud - Al-Riyadh	1:2
01.09.23	Al-Riyadh - Al Akhdoud	0:1
Saudi Division 1
08.02.23	Al Akhdoud - Al-Riyadh	1:2
07.09.22	Al-Riyadh - Al Akhdoud	0:3

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