Match Info

SAUDI ARABIA: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 32

Date: 16 May 2023, Tuesday


	Al Akhdoud		Al-Qaisumah

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	3.8
	1.68	3.55	4.55
	1.86	3.38	3.97
	1.73	3.2	4.2
	1.77	3.62	4.1	Watch
	1.75	3.55	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.55)	3.45 ↓ (3.71)	4.12 ↓ (5.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Akhdoud
51.7%

Draw
26.3%

Al-Qaisumah
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

24.2%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

22.1%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Akhdoud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al Akhdoud's form might have worsened.

Al-Qaisumah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Akhdoud than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al Akhdoud, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Qaisumah than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Qaisumah, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Al Akhdoud - Al Qaisumah Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Al Akhdoud will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Al-Qaisumah will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al Akhdoud: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League and 12).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Al Akhdoud could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Al Akhdoud is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Al Akhdoud won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Akhdoud Club
Saudi Division 1
10.05.23	Al-Kholood - Al Akhdoud	2:1 ✺
05.05.23	Al Akhdoud - Al Hazem	0:1 ✺
30.04.23	Al Akhdoud - Ohud Medina	1:0 ✺
24.04.23	Jeddah - Al Akhdoud	2:4 ✺
09.04.23	Al Akhdoud - Al-Orobah	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWWW
- Al-Qaisumah FC
Saudi Division 1
09.05.23	Al-Qaisumah - Jeddah	2:1 ✺
01.05.23	Najran - Al-Qaisumah	1:1 ✺
26.04.23	Al-Qaisumah - Al-Qadisiya	0:1 ✺
10.04.23	Hajer - Al-Qaisumah	2:2 ✺
03.04.23	Al-Qaisumah - Al-Orobah	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
02.01.23	Al-Qaisumah - Al Akhdoud	2:2

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