Match Info

Premier League - Round 11

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday

Location: Beirut Municipal Stadium (Beirut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Lebanon	MTV Sports
World	FIFA+


	Al-Ansar Beirut		Tadamon Sour

	1	X	2
	1.2	5.3	11.5	Watch
	1.22	5.37	12.29	Watch
	1.2	5	15
	1.18	5.15	16
	1.2	5	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.27)	5.16 ↑ (5)	13.56 ↑ (9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Ansar Beirut
75.7%

Draw
17.6%

Tadamon Sour
6.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.7%

18.2%

10.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Ansar Beirut has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Tadamon Sour has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Al Ansar Beirut - Tadamon Sour Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Akuki G. 🟥,
45+5', 1 - 0, Khalfallah H. ⚽, El Dor M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
88', 2 - 0, Bou Saleh M. ⚽, Hebous M. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Winners stage: ) and 8 in the zone Premier League (Losers stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ansar won 4.

Al-Ansar has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tadamon is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Al-Ansar has had a series of away games.

In this match, Al-Ansar is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Al-Ansar won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:1. (average 2:0.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ansar won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:1. (average 2:0.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Ansar Beirut
Lebanese Premier League
21.12.25	Al-Ansar Beirut - Al-Mabarrah	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Jwaya - Al-Ansar Beirut	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	Al-Ahed - Al-Ansar Beirut	1:5 ✺
02.12.25	Shabab Al Sahel - Al-Ansar Beirut	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Al-Abbassieh - Al-Ansar Beirut	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWTW
- Tadamon Sour
Lebanese Premier League
19.12.25	Tadamon Sour - Hekmeh	0:0 ✺
12.12.25	Tadamon Sour - Nejmeh	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Racing Beirut - Tadamon Sour	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Al-Mabarrah - Tadamon Sour	0:3 ✺
02.11.25	Jwaya - Tadamon Sour	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.2 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Lebanese Premier League
13.07.25	Al-Ansar Beirut - Tadamon Sour	2:0
15.06.25	Al-Ansar Beirut - Tadamon Sour	3:0
30.04.25	Tadamon Sour - Al-Ansar Beirut	0:0
09.03.25	Al-Ansar Beirut - Tadamon Sour	3:1
28.10.23	Al-Ansar Beirut - Tadamon Sour	1:0
16.10.22	Tadamon Sour - Al-Ansar Beirut	0:4
14.03.22	Al-Ansar Beirut - Tadamon Sour	1:0

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