Match Info

Premier League - Round 7

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday


	Al-Mabarrah		Tadamon Sour

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.35	3.45	Watch
	1.92	3.40	3.58	Watch
	1.99	3.28	3.41
	1.96	3.35	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.87)	3.35 (3.35)	3.47 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Mabarrah
46.7%

Draw
27.1%

Tadamon Sour
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

27.1%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

22.9%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Mabarrah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Tadamon Sour has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Mabarrah than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Mabarrah that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tadamon Sour than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Al Mabarrah - Tadamon Sour Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+7', 0 - 1, Madi H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', 0 - 2, Bazzi H. ⚽, Gildo (A),
62', 0 - 3, El Hourani A. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Winners stage: ) and 9 in the zone Premier League (Losers stage: )).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Tadamon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Al-Mabarrah has had a series of away games.

Al-Mabarrah will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Mabarrah
Lebanese Premier League
25.10.25	Jwaya - Al-Mabarrah	2:0 ✺
17.10.25	Al-Ahed - Al-Mabarrah	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Al-Mabarrah - Al-Abbassieh	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Bourj - Al-Mabarrah	0:0 ✺
19.09.25	Shabab Al Sahel - Al-Mabarrah	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLTTT
- Tadamon Sour
Lebanese Premier League
02.11.25	Jwaya - Tadamon Sour	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Tadamon Sour - Al-Ahed	0:2 ✺
17.10.25	Tadamon Sour - Al-Abbassieh	1:3 ✺
05.10.25	Bourj - Tadamon Sour	3:1 ✺
27.09.25	Shabab Al Sahel - Tadamon Sour	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TLLLT

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