Match Info

Premier League - Round 10

Date: 19 December 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Tadamon Sour		Hekmeh

	1	X	2
	3	2.98	2.25	Watch
	3.27	3.06	2.12
	3.23	3.07	2.22	Watch
	3.1	2.88	2.25
	3.14	3.4	2.19
	3.33	3	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (2.75)	3.07 ↓ (3.33)	2.19 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tadamon Sour
28.7%

Draw
29.7%

Hekmeh
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

27.6%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

27.7%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tadamon Sour has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Hekmeh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tadamon Sour than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hekmeh than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Tadamon Sour - Hekmeh Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Premier League (Losers stage: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Winners stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tadamon won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Tadamon won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tadamon won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tadamon Sour
Lebanese Premier League
12.12.25	Tadamon Sour - Nejmeh	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Racing Beirut - Tadamon Sour	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Al-Mabarrah - Tadamon Sour	0:3 ✺
02.11.25	Jwaya - Tadamon Sour	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Tadamon Sour - Al-Ahed	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.8 TWWTL
- Hekmeh FC
Lebanese Premier League
14.12.25	Al-Mabarrah - Hekmeh	2:1 ✺
05.12.25	Jwaya - Hekmeh	2:1 ✺
07.11.25	Hekmeh - Al-Ahed	1:3 ✺
02.11.25	Hekmeh - Al-Abbassieh	3:0 ✺
26.10.25	Hekmeh - Bourj	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Lebanese Premier League
26.06.25	Hekmeh - Tadamon Sour	3:1
12.05.25	Hekmeh - Tadamon Sour	0:0
12.04.25	Tadamon Sour - Hekmeh	0:2
19.02.25	Hekmeh - Tadamon Sour	0:0
17.05.24	Hekmeh - Tadamon Sour	0:0
25.02.24	Tadamon Sour - Hekmeh	2:1
23.09.23	Hekmeh - Tadamon Sour	1:0

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