Match Info

QSL Cup - Round 4

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Grand Hamad Stadium (Doha)


	Al-Arabi Doha		Lusail City

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.01	4.43	Watch
	2.02	3.5	3.16
	2.32	3.5	2.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.72)	3.67 ↓ (3.8)	3.41 ↓ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Arabi Doha
47%

Draw
25.5%

Lusail City
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

24%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

23.6%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Arabi Doha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Arabi Doha's form might have worsened.

Lusail City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Arabi Doha than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Arabi Doha, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusail City than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Al Arabi Doha - Lusail City Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Al-Arabi will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Arabi (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Al-Arabi (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Arabi (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, ⚽,
22', 2 - 0, ⚽,
34', 3 - 0, ⚽,
40', 4 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
57', 4 - 1, ⚽,
75', 5 - 1, ⚽,
87', 6 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Lusail City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Al-Arabi is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Al-Arabi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Al-Arabi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Arabi Doha SC
Qatar QSL
25.10.25	Al-Sadd - Al-Arabi Doha	1:3 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
04.10.25	Al-Arabi Doha - Qatar SC	4:1 ✺
Qatar QSL
27.09.25	Al-Sailiya - Al-Arabi Doha	4:0 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
22.09.25	Al-Arabi Doha - Al-Waab	1:1 ✺
Qatar QSL
20.09.25	Al-Arabi Doha - Al Duhail	1:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWLTL
- Lusail City FC
Qatar QSL 2
22.10.25	Al-Kharitiyath - Lusail City	3:1 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
18.10.25	Al-Mesaimeer - Lusail City	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Al-Rayyan - Lusail City	5:2 ✺
24.09.25	Lusail City - Al-Ahli Doha	4:1 ✺
Qatar QSL 2
17.09.25	Lusail City - Muaither	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Qatar QFA Cup
08.05.22	Lusail City - Al-Arabi Doha	2:3
14.04.22	Al-Arabi Doha - Lusail City	1:3

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