Match Info

Division 2 - Round 4

Date: 22 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Al Khor Stadium (Al Khor)


	Al-Kharitiyath		Lusail City

	1	X	2
	2.67	3.2	2.47
	2.39	3.14	2.69
	2.45	3.1	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.45)	3.15 ↑ (3.1)	2.59 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Kharitiyath
36.2%

Draw
28.8%

Lusail City
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

28.9%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

28.7%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Kharitiyath has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Lusail City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Kharitiyath than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusail City than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Al Kharitiyath - Lusail City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
60', 1 - 1, ⚽,
81', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ QSL (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Kharitiyath won 4.

Al-Kharitiyath is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lusail City has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Al-Kharitiyath has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Al-Kharitiyath won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:6. (average 1.8:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Kharitiyath won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:5. (average 2.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Kharitiyath SC
Qatar QSL Cup
17.10.25	Al-Wakrah - Al-Kharitiyath	1:1 ✺
02.10.25	Al Duhail - Al-Kharitiyath	0:4 ✺
24.09.25	Qatar SC - Al-Kharitiyath	1:4 ✺
Qatar QSL 2
17.09.25	Al-Markhiya - Al-Kharitiyath	2:1 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
01.09.25	Al-Kharitiyath - Lusail City	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 TWWLW
- Lusail City FC
Qatar QSL Cup
18.10.25	Al-Mesaimeer - Lusail City	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Al-Rayyan - Lusail City	5:2 ✺
24.09.25	Lusail City - Al-Ahli Doha	4:1 ✺
Qatar QSL 2
17.09.25	Lusail City - Muaither	2:0 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
01.09.25	Al-Kharitiyath - Lusail City	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Qatar QSL Cup
01.09.25	Al-Kharitiyath - Lusail City	5:1
Qatar QSL 2
13.02.25	Al-Kharitiyath - Lusail City	2:0
02.10.24	Lusail City - Al-Kharitiyath	0:1
14.04.24	Lusail City - Al-Kharitiyath	0:0
07.12.23	Al-Kharitiyath - Lusail City	3:2
15.03.23	Lusail City - Al-Kharitiyath	0:2
11.09.22	Al-Kharitiyath - Lusail City	1:0

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