Match Info

Division 2 - Round 5

Date: 4 November 2025, Tuesday


	Al-Mesaimeer		Lusail City

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.46	2.47
	2.41	3.58	2.39
	2.44	3.6	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.84)	3.55 ↓ (3.7)	2.43 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Mesaimeer
37.2%

Draw
25.5%

Lusail City
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

24.6%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

23.8%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Mesaimeer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Mesaimeer's performance.

Lusail City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lusail City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Mesaimeer than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusail City than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Al Mesaimeer - Lusail City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 1, ⚽,
51', 1 - 2, ⚽,
71', 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ QSL (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Mesaimeer won 2.

In recent matches, Al-Mesaimeer has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lusail City is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Lusail City has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Al-Mesaimeer won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Mesaimeer won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.4:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Mesaimeer SC
Qatar QSL Cup
28.10.25	Qatar SC - Al-Mesaimeer	2:2 ✺
Qatar QSL 2
22.10.25	Al-Mesaimeer - Al-Khor	2:2 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
18.10.25	Al-Mesaimeer - Lusail City	1:1 ✺
03.10.25	Al-Wakrah - Al-Mesaimeer	2:3 ✺
22.09.25	Al-Mesaimeer - Al Duhail	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TTTWL
- Lusail City FC
Qatar QSL Cup
28.10.25	Al-Arabi Doha - Lusail City	6:1 ✺
Qatar QSL 2
22.10.25	Al-Kharitiyath - Lusail City	3:1 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
18.10.25	Al-Mesaimeer - Lusail City	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Al-Rayyan - Lusail City	5:2 ✺
24.09.25	Lusail City - Al-Ahli Doha	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Qatar QSL Cup
18.10.25	Al-Mesaimeer - Lusail City	1:1
Qatar QSL 2
10.04.25	Lusail City - Al-Mesaimeer	4:1
06.12.24	Al-Mesaimeer - Lusail City	0:1
09.03.24	Al-Mesaimeer - Lusail City	1:0
09.11.23	Lusail City - Al-Mesaimeer	2:4
18.02.23	Al-Mesaimeer - Lusail City	0:1
26.08.22	Lusail City - Al-Mesaimeer	2:2

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