Match Info

UAE League - Round 17

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Al Maktoum Stadium (Dubai)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports 2, ADtv
World	Triller TV+


	Al-Nasr		Khor Fakkan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.82	3.7	3.7	Watch
	1.88	3.82	3.48
	1.85	3.91	3.65	Watch
	1.75	3.4	3.9
	1.78	3.76	4.17	Watch
	1.87	3.8	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.96)	3.73 ↓ (3.82)	3.72 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Al-Nasr
50.5%

Draw
24.7%

Khor Fakkan
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

24.3%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

24.6%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Nasr has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Khor Fakkan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Nasr than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khor Fakkan than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Al Nasr - Khor Fakkan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Shambih A. (G) 52. Felipe Motta 4. Glauber 22. Hoibraaten M. 15. Saatci S. 19. Milivojevic L. (C) 20. Agudelo K. 57. Faiz I. 6. Mahdi H. 28. Toure A. 10. Ghayedi M.	1. Al Hosani A. (C) 11. Jshak A. 74. El Refaey A. 34. Seymor S. 30. Nakach A. 16. Pavlov P. 40. Al Naqbi A. 13. Barman A. 5. Camara A. 90. Diallo A. 9. Tissoudali T.
Substitutes
8. Abdulbasit M. 80. Al Somhi S. 40. Al Tamimi A. (G) 24. Al Zaabi Z. 13. Mierez R. 38. Ndiaye M. 75. Osama Z. 55. Petrovic D. 37. Salem S. (G) 9. Santos J. 2. Sultan S.	23. Ahmed S. 2. Al Ameri Y. 19. Al Awadhi R. 48. Al Hosani J. (G) 96. Ali R. (G) 4. Ali Shakir M. 27. Al Sweed S. 20. Filipe Augusto 14. Haroun A. 28. Humaid H. 79. N'Guessan J. 15. Ortega B.
Coaches
Jokanovic S.	Krznar D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 1 - 0, Ghayedi M. ⚽, Felipe Motta (A),
23', 1 - 1, Tissoudali T. ⚽, Diallo A. (A),
27', Pavlov P. 🟨,
38', 1 - 2, Diallo A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Felipe Motta ↓, Petrovic D. ↑,
52', 2 - 2, Milivojevic L. (Penalty Awarded),
56', Milivojevic L. 🟨,
68', Agudelo K. ↓, Mierez R. ↑,
68', Jshak A. ↓, Al Ameri Y. ↑,
69', Mahdi H. ↓, Santos J. ↑,
69', Camara A. ↓, N'Guessan J. ↑,
75', Barman A. ↓, Filipe Augusto ↑,
82', Faiz I. ↓, Al Zaabi Z. ↑,
83', Saatci S. ↓, Ndiaye M. ↑,
83', Tissoudali T. ↓, Humaid H. ↑,
87', Al Ameri Y. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Nasr won 3.

Al-Nasr is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Khor Fakkan's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Al-Nasr could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Al-Nasr won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 1.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Nasr won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:3. (average 1.9:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Al Nasr	5	1	2	2	6:7	-1	5
11	Khorfakkan	5	1	1	3	5:12	-7	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Nasr SC
UAE Football League
14.02.26	Al Ain - Al-Nasr	1:1 ✺
05.02.26	Al-Nasr - Al Wasl	1:1 ✺
29.01.26	Al-Nasr - Bani Yas	0:2 ✺
17.01.26	Khor Fakkan - Al-Nasr	0:0 ✺
06.01.26	Al-Nasr - Al-Sharjah	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TTLTL
- Khor Fakkan FC
UAE Football League
14.02.26	Khor Fakkan - Ajman Club	2:5 ✺
06.02.26	Al Dhafra - Khor Fakkan	2:3 ✺
UAE Presidents Cup
01.02.26	Shabab Al-Ahli - Khor Fakkan	3:1 ✺
UAE Football League
28.01.26	Al Wasl - Khor Fakkan	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Khor Fakkan - Al-Nasr	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

UAE Football League
17.01.26	Khor Fakkan - Al-Nasr	0:0
03.05.25	Khor Fakkan - Al-Nasr	3:3
15.12.24	Al-Nasr - Khor Fakkan	3:1
13.05.24	Al-Nasr - Khor Fakkan	2:1
UAE Presidents Cup
17.02.24	Al-Nasr - Khor Fakkan	1:0
UAE Football League
09.12.23	Khor Fakkan - Al-Nasr	3:1
10.02.23	Al-Nasr - Khor Fakkan	1:0

Upcoming Matches