The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Al-Diriyah 60.9%
Draw 22.1%
Al-Orobah 16.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.3%
23.8%
23.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.4%
23.3%
23.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Diriyah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Diriyah's performance.
Al-Orobah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Orobah might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Diriyah than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Diriyah that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Orobah than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Orobah could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Al Diriyah - Al Orobah Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Abdullah W. (C) 2. Al Faraj A. 87. Subayt A. 15. Colley O. 21. Hameran M. 8. Al Qahtani Z. 17. Diandy C. 88. Al Malki A. 14. Rodriguez O. 7. Marega M. 9. Laborde G.
34. Al Oshbaan J. (G) 14. Rabie F. 4. Al Hunayti Z. (C) 33. Al Shuwaish H. 70. Hendi A. 21. Najah A. 7. Doumbia A. 6. Al Juwaid A. 10. Al Hujaili A. 20. Gonzalez D. 9. Simy
Substitutes
10. Al Dosari A. 5. Al Farhan S. 75. Al Nemer M. 23. Al Otaibi N. (G) 52. Al Qahtani H. 27. Al Rahmani S. 44. Al Zaaqi N. 82. Al Zarie H. 12. Wadi T.
19. Abdullah O. 15. Al Bishi A. M. 27. Al Harbi S. 17. Al Hazmi R. 11. Al Maqati H. 18. Al Rashid F. 80. Al Rashidi F. 1. Al Ruwaili R. (G) 22. Al Ruwaili S. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Al Hujaili A. 🟨,
36', Doumbia A. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Laborde G. ⚽,
44', Simy 🟨,
45+2', Al Malki A. 🟨,
45+5', Colley O. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Al Malki A. ↓, Al Farhan S. ↑,
49', 2 - 0, Marega M. ⚽, Al Faraj A. (A),
54', Gonzalez D. ↓, Al Rashidi F. ↑,
59', 3 - 0, Laborde G. ⚽, Al Faraj A. (A),
64', Diandy C. ↓, Al Rahmani S. ↑,
66', 3 - 1, Simy ⚽, Doumbia A. (A),
68', Hendi A. ↓, Al Harbi S. ↑,
79', Rodriguez O. ↓, Al Zarie H. ↑,
90', Rabie F. ↓, Al Hazmi R. ↑,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
In this match, Al-Diriyah is a strong favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Diriyah won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.2:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Al-Diriyah won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).