The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Al-Adalh 6.8%
Draw 13.5%
Al-Diriyah 79.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
12.7%
19.4%
67.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
12.3%
18.8%
70.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Adalh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Adalh's form might have worsened.
Al-Diriyah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Diriyah's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Adalh than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Adalh, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Diriyah than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Diriyah, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al Adalh - Al Diriyah Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Al Dawsari M. (G) 8. Al Khalaf O. 19. Al Muziel K. 6. Al Basha A. 27. Al Omaish S. 16. Al Hamdhi K. N. 95. Bukia A. 15. Al Mohammed H. 7. Al Ibrahim R. 98. Al Salem R. 91. Bouamer N.
23. Al Otaibi N. (G) 2. Al Faraj A. 87. Subayt A. 15. Colley O. (C) 21. Hameran M. 8. Al Qahtani Z. 7. Marega M. 88. Al Malki A. 14. Rodriguez O. 11. N'Koudou G. 9. Laborde G.
Substitutes
18. Al Baladi E. 13. Al Biladi M. (G) 29. Al Jamman A. 23. Al Khaldi M. 17. Al Majhad H. 24. Al Marri M. 88. Al Suwaij A. 9. Qarradi J.
78. Al Asiri K. 10. Al Dossari A. 5. Al Farhan S. 22. Al Harbi A. (G) 18. Al Mutairi F. 6. Al Qarni I. 44. Al Zaaqi N. 82. Al Zarie H. 12. Wadi T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
19', Al Hamdhi K. N. 🟨,
24', Subayt A. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Subayt A. ⚽, Laborde G. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Al Ibrahim R. 🟨,
70', Al Ibrahim R. ↓, Al Majhad H. ↑,
77', Al Salem R. ↓, Al Marri M. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Bouamer N. ⚽,
84', Al Qahtani Z. ↓, Al Farhan S. ↑,
85', Bouamer N. ↓, Qarradi J. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League).
Al-Adalh has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Al-Diriyah is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
In this match, Al-Diriyah is the obvious favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Al-Adalh won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Al-Adalh won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
Asia
Saudi-arabia
Watch
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Al Dawsari M. (G) 
Bukia A. 
Colley O. (C) 
Marega M. 
Rodriguez O. 
N'Koudou G. 
Laborde G. 
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