Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 5

Date: 3 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium (Riyadh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Brazil	SporTV, Xsports
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	SportKlub 5
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, Laola1
Mexico	FOX One, FOX Sports
Portugal	Sport TV3
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah App
Slovenia	SportKlub 6
Turkey	HT Spor
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Al-Diriyah		Al-Qadisiya

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.2	1.5
	6.50	5.25	1.38
	6.10	4.60	1.38
	5.09	4.72	1.57
	5.38	4.9	1.48	Watch
	4.85	4.65	1.54
	5.41	4.54	1.6	Watch
	5	4.6	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.39 ↑ (5.1)	4.68 ↑ (4.4)	1.5 ↑ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Diriyah
17.4%

Draw
20%

Al-Qadisiya
62.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.8%

20.6%

61.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3%

20%

63.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Diriyah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Al-Qadisiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Diriyah than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Qadisiya than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Al Diriyah - Al Qadisiya Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Qadisiya (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al-Qadisiya will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Vasilj N. (G) 2. Al Faraj A. 99. Mbemba Ch. 87. Lajami Q. 19. Djimsiti B. 16. Al Sibyani H. K. A. 17. Diandy C. 5. Gueye I. (C) 20. Millot E. 14. Rodriguez O. 29. Nunez D.	1. Casteels K. (G) 4. Thakri J. 6. Fernandez N. (C) 17. Alvarez G. 2. Abu Al Shamat M. 15. Al Qahtani M. 5. Weigl J. 22. Bonsu Baah C. 10. Al Juwayr M. 32. Retegui M. 33. Quinones J.
Substitutes
78. Al Asiri K. 97. Al Bukhari A. (G) 6. Al Farhan S. 88. Al Malki A. 75. Al Nemer M. 52. Al Qahtani H. 32. Al Zaid A. 11. Bahebri H. 21. Hameran M.	7. Al Ammar T. 28. Al Kassar A. (G) 9. Al Salem A. 12. Al Shahrani Y. 90. Al Yuhaybi A. 77. Harun S. 27. Houssa E. 40. Mahnashi I. 88. Puertas C.
Coaches
Lage B.	Rodgers B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Retegui M. 🟨,
42', Fernandez N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', Gueye I. 🟨,
51', 0 - 1, Retegui M. (Penalty Awarded),
54', Weigl J. 🟨,
58', 0 - 2, Quinones J. ⚽, Abu Al Shamat M. (A),
60', Al Qahtani M. ↓, Puertas C. ↑,
68', Lajami Q. ↓, Al Nemer M. ↑,
68', Al Sibyani H. K. A. ↓, Hameran M. ↑,
84', Gueye I. ↓, Al Qahtani H. ↑,
84', Millot E. ↓, Bahebri H. ↑,
86', Diandy C. ↓, Al Zaid A. ↑,
86', Retegui M. ↓, Al Salem A. ↑,
86', Bonsu Baah C. ↓, Al Ammar T. ↑,
90+3', Thakri J. 🟨,
90+6', Rodriguez O. 🟥,
90+7', Al Juwayr M. 🟨,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Al-Qadisiya is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Al-Diriyah won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Including home match between the teams, Al-Diriyah won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Outrights of Saudi Professional League for now

Al Qadsiah: 13.46% Al Diriyah: 0.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Al Qadsiah	7	5	1	1	16:8	8	16
8	Al Diriyah	7	3	2	2	7:5	2	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Diriyah
Saudi Professional League
29.08.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Diriyah	0:3 ✺
26.08.26	Al-Diriyah - Al-Kholood	1:1 ✺
21.08.26	Al Hazem - Al-Diriyah	0:1 ✺
Saudi King Cup
18.08.26	Al-Diriyah - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:4 ✺
Saudi Professional League
13.08.26	Al-Diriyah - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTWLL
- Al-Qadisiya
Saudi Professional League
30.08.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Faisaly	3:1 ✺
24.08.26	Neom - Al-Qadisiya	0:2 ✺
21.08.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	0:1 ✺
13.08.26	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Qadisiya	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.26	Levante - Al-Qadisiya	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
09.02.22	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Diriyah	0:0
28.09.21	Al-Diriyah - Al-Qadisiya	0:2

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