The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Al-Kholood 11.2%
Draw 16.6%
Al-Qadisiya 72.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
16.2%
19.7%
64.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
15.7%
19.1%
66%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Kholood has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
Al-Qadisiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Qadisiya's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Kholood than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Qadisiya than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Qadisiya, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Al Kholood - Al Qadisiya Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Al-Qadisiya will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Yousef H. A. M. (G) 24. Abdulghani O. 47. Al Obaid A. 25. Camara M. 7. Al Shehri S. 6. Buckley J. 8. Cisse S. 70. Sawan M. (C) 10. Kortajarena I. 11. da Costa C. 22. Domingues J.
1. Casteels K. (G) 4. Thakri J. 6. Fernandez N. (C) 17. Alvarez G. 2. Abu Al Shamat M. 14. Reijnders T. 5. Weigl J. 10. Al Juwayr M. 22. Bonsu Baah C. 32. Retegui M. 33. Quinones J.
Substitutes
39. Al Dawsari A. 67. Al Rashidi M. 30. Al Shammari M. (G) 48. Al Yahya M. (G) 26. Al Zubaidi Y. 41. Barabaa I. 77. Essomba L. 99. Guga 52. Jaman R.
7. Al Ammar T. 18. Al Jaber A. 28. Al Kassar A. (G) 15. Al Qahtani M. 9. Al Salem A. 12. Al Shahrani Y. 35. Al Siyahi A. 19. Asiri H. 27. Houssa E.
Coaches
Buckingham D.
Rodgers B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
4', 0 - 1, Reijnders T. ⚽, Retegui M. (A),
13', 0 - 2, Bonsu Baah C. ⚽, Quinones J. (A),
40', 0 - 3, Al Juwayr M. ⚽, Abu Al Shamat M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', Domingues J. ↓, Guga ↑,
57', Abdulghani O. ↓, Al Zubaidi Y. ↑,
64', Kortajarena I. (Penalty Awarded),
67', 0 - 4, Retegui M. ⚽, Quinones J. (A),
68', Al Shehri S. ↓, Al Rashidi M. ↑,
68', Al Obaid A. ↓, Al Dawsari A. ↑,
69', Abu Al Shamat M. ↓, Al Ammar T. ↑,
69', Fernandez N. ↓, Al Shahrani Y. ↑,
69', Retegui M. ↓, Asiri H. ↑,
76', Thakri J. ↓, Al Siyahi A. ↑,
80', Reijnders T. ↓, Al Qahtani M. ↑,
83', Kortajarena I. ↓, Essomba L. ↑,
84', da Costa C. 🟨,
86', 0 - 5, Quinones J. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 7th in the Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League and 4th in the Promotion - AFC Champions League League phase).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Kholood won 0.
Al-Kholood has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Al-Qadisiya is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Recently, Al-Qadisiya has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this matchup, Al-Qadisiya is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Al-Kholood has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:22 (averaging 0.5:2.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Al-Kholood against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 4:10 goals (averaging 0.8:2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Al Qadsiah
8
6
1
1
21:8
13
19
8
Al Kholood
8
3
3
2
12:15
-3
12
Last Results with these Odds
Al-Qadisiya - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 64.13%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.