Match Info

Date: 5 May 2022, Thursday


	Al-Diriyah		Ohud Medina

	1	X	2
	2.85	3	2.3
	2.85	2.85	2.45
	2.9	2.9	2.27
	2.92	3	2.49
	2.9	2.88	2.3
	2.94	2.94	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↓ (3.4)	2.93 ↑ (2.85)	2.38 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Diriyah
31.2%

Draw
30.8%

Ohud Medina
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

31.4%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

32.3%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Diriyah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Ohud Medina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Diriyah than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Diriyah that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ohud Medina than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ohud Medina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	40%	30%

Al Diriyah - Ohud Medina Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Al-Diriyah will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Ohud will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Ohud will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Al-Diriyah won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Diriyah
Saudi Division 1
20.04.22	Al-Diriyah - Al-Nahda	1:1 ✺
11.04.22	Al-Sahel Qatif - Al-Diriyah	0:0 ✺
05.04.22	Al-Diriyah - Hajer	1:1 ✺
28.03.22	Najran - Al-Diriyah	0:1 ✺
21.03.22	Al-Jabalain - Al-Diriyah	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TTTWL
- Ohud Medina
Saudi Division 1
19.04.22	Ohud Medina - Al-Ain	0:0 ✺
11.04.22	Al-Khaleej - Ohud Medina	1:0 ✺
04.04.22	Ohud Medina - Al-Jabalain	1:1 ✺
28.03.22	Al-Sahel Qatif - Ohud Medina	1:2 ✺
22.03.22	Ohud Medina - Al-Jeel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
14.12.21	Ohud Medina - Al-Diriyah	2:1
16.03.21	Ohud Medina - Al-Diriyah	1:1

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